沙田 · 2025-03-02 · 05:35
第 2場
2025-03-02沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1200米。由J Orman策騎、P F Yiu訓練的THE CONCENTRATION勝出，贏出SH。CIRCUIT TEN獲得亞軍；THE KHAN獲得季軍。4.4倍大熱門FLYING PHANTOM跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | THE CONCENTRATION PC/TT 1.09.61 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 2 | 5.2 | SH |
| 2 | 10 | CIRCUIT TEN TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 12 | 32.0 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | THE KHAN B J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 13 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | RAGNARR CP/H/XB H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 7 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 14 | WIND SPEEDER B M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 11 | 26.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | SPEEDY CHARIOT B/TT C Williams · D J Whyte | C Williams | D J Whyte | 10 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | SPEEDY SMARTIE CP/TT J McDonald · T P Yung | J McDonald | T P Yung | 14 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | WOODFIRE CHAMP V/TT- M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 9 | 35.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | HO HO STAR H M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 6 | 8.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | YOO YOO KNIGHT CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 1 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 7 | FLYING PHANTOM B R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 3 | 4.4 | 5 |
| 12 | 2 | CIRCUIT VICTORY TT A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 8 | 22.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 4 | ALMIGHTY KICK XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 5 | 20.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 6 | FALCON COURT B/TT T Marquand · D A Hayes | T Marquand | D A Hayes | 4 | 8.1 | 7 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FALCON COURT | 13.6% | 7.34 | 14 |
| 2 | 1 | RAGNARR | 11.5% | 8.68 | 4 |
| 3 | 11 | THE CONCENTRATION | 11.1% | 8.97 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | HO HO STAR | 10.6% | 9.40 | 9 |
| 5 | 7 | FLYING PHANTOM | 9.9% | 10.13 | 11 |
| 6 | 3 | THE KHAN | 7.4% | 13.49 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 7.1% | 14.11 | 7 |
| 8 | 13 | YOO YOO KNIGHT | 5.7% | 17.48 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | CIRCUIT TEN | 5.1% | 19.66 | 2 |
| 10 | 2 | CIRCUIT VICTORY | 4.9% | 20.52 | 12 |
| 11 | 14 | WIND SPEEDER | 4.4% | 22.90 | 5 |
| 12 | 4 | ALMIGHTY KICK | 3.0% | 33.36 | 13 |
| 13 | 12 | SPEEDY CHARIOT | 2.8% | 35.20 | 6 |
| 14 | 9 | WOODFIRE CHAMP | 2.8% | 35.57 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 52.5
PLACE
3 46
10 89
11 22.5
QUINELLA
10,11 974
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 638
3,11 148.5
10,11 346.5
FORECAST
11,10 1,724
TIERCE
11,10,3 28,775
TRIO
3,10,11 4,550
FIRST 4
1,3,10,11 14,839
QUARTET
11,10,3,1 269,301
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
9/10 154.5
9/11 126.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
8,9,10/3,10,11 311,188