沙田 · 2025-03-02 · 05:05
第 1場
Class 4
1000m
跑道 B
14 匹出賽
2025-03-02沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1000米。由L Ferraris策騎、C Fownes訓練的JUSTIFYING勝出，贏出3-3/4。SUPER STRONG KID獲得亞軍；JUMBO TREASURE獲得季軍。頭馬以2.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | JUSTIFYING TT1 0.55.67 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 4 | 2.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | SUPER STRONG KID M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 8 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | JUMBO TREASURE TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 2 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | SUMMIT CHEERS B-/TT- A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 11 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | DO YOUR PART TT R Kingscote · K W Lui | R Kingscote | K W Lui | 12 | 50.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | GRAND NOVA E J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 3 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | BINGO BABE TT- M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 10 | 115.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 13 | HE WAS YOU B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 14 | ROMANTIC NOVELIST P-/XB/BO1/TT- L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 13 | 31.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | KA YING RESILIENCE H1/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 6 | 4.4 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | DIVINE MOONLIGHT TT1 H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 1 | 114.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | HAPPY BOYS H1/XB1 J Orman · M Newnham | J Orman | M Newnham | 5 | 39.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 2 | MULTISUPER B/TT D McDonogh · T P Yung | D McDonogh | T P Yung | 14 | 33.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 7 | IRON FIGHTER B/TT T Marquand · K H Ting | T Marquand | K H Ting | 7 | 106.0 | 16-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
模型首選 JUMBO TREASURE（15.8%）跑獲第 3 名；頭馬 JUSTIFYING 模型排名第 3。
離線回測評分：此評分表由只使用本賽季之前數據訓練的模型產生，模型從未見過此賽事的賽果。
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | JUMBO TREASURE | 15.8% | 6.31 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | GRAND NOVA | 15.5% | 6.44 | 6 |
| 3 | 9 | JUSTIFYING | 14.4% | 6.94 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 10.2% | 9.83 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | SUPER STRONG KID | 9.2% | 10.88 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | KA YING RESILIENCE | 8.8% | 11.43 | 10 |
| 7 | 13 | HE WAS YOU | 6.8% | 14.79 | 8 |
| 8 | 6 | HAPPY BOYS | 6.0% | 16.63 | 12 |
| 9 | 2 | MULTISUPER | 3.5% | 28.73 | 13 |
| 10 | 11 | DIVINE MOONLIGHT | 3.3% | 30.16 | 11 |
| 11 | 4 | DO YOUR PART | 2.5% | 40.49 | 5 |
| 12 | 14 | ROMANTIC NOVELIST | 1.8% | 54.55 | 9 |
| 13 | 7 | IRON FIGHTER | 1.3% | 78.95 | 14 |
| 14 | 12 | BINGO BABE | 1.0% | 104.96 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 26
PLACE
8 29.5
9 14.5
10 30.5
QUINELLA
9,10 168
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 61.5
8,10 134
9,10 68.5
FORECAST
9,10 225
TIERCE
9,10,8 1,288
TRIO
8,9,10 382
FIRST 4
3,8,9,10 712
QUARTET
9,10,8,3 8,393