沙田 · 2025-03-02 · 06:35
第 4場
2025-03-02沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米。由B Shinn策騎、T P Yung訓練的BALLISTIC WIN勝出，贏出N。LOVING VIBES獲得亞軍；ISLAND BREEZES獲得季軍。1.9倍大熱門LASERBLANCA跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BALLISTIC WIN CP-/H- 1.09.08 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 3 | 3.8 | N |
| 2 | 12 | LOVING VIBES K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 6 | 6.9 | N |
| 3 | 10 | ISLAND BREEZES B/TT J Moreira · P C Ng | J Moreira | P C Ng | 9 | 21.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | PARTERRE B K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 10 | 32.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | DASHING PAL H1/TT1 C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 1 | 207.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | RUN RUN TIMING B/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 11 | 28.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | SUPER GOLDI CP1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 13 | 49.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | POSITIVE SMILE M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 14 | 81.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | MASTER PHOENIX B/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 2 | 9.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | LASERBLANCA R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 8 | 1.9 | 4 |
| 11 | 13 | HAPPY TANGO B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 203.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | LUCKY MY WAY SR1 M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 4 | 56.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | LOADED WITH FLUKE CP-/TT1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 304.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 14 | 14 | SMART BEAUTY B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 238.0 | 13-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | LASERBLANCA | 28.2% | 3.54 | 10 |
| 2 | 3 | MASTER PHOENIX | 16.4% | 6.09 | 9 |
| 3 | 12 | LOVING VIBES | 13.4% | 7.46 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | BALLISTIC WIN | 7.9% | 12.60 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | RUN RUN TIMING | 7.7% | 13.00 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | DASHING PAL | 6.6% | 15.07 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | POSITIVE SMILE | 3.8% | 26.38 | 8 |
| 8 | 5 | SUPER GOLDI | 3.5% | 28.38 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | ISLAND BREEZES | 3.2% | 30.99 | 3 |
| 10 | 8 | LUCKY MY WAY | 2.9% | 33.94 | 12 |
| 11 | 1 | PARTERRE | 2.2% | 45.34 | 4 |
| 12 | 14 | SMART BEAUTY | 1.8% | 54.96 | 14 |
| 13 | 13 | HAPPY TANGO | 1.2% | 82.02 | 11 |
| 14 | 11 | LOADED WITH FLUKE | 0.9% | 105.91 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 38.5
PLACE
4 14.5
10 36
12 21.5
QUINELLA
4,12 137.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 78.5
4,12 42
10,12 133
FORECAST
4,12 247
TIERCE
4,12,10 2,321
TRIO
4,10,12 572
FIRST 4
1,4,10,12 1,952
QUARTET
4,12,10,1 35,472
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,11/4,10,12 33,681
3RD DOUBLE
11/4 524.5
11/12 80