沙田 · 2025-03-15 · 05:35
第 2場
2025-03-15沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1600米。由B Avdulla策騎、P C Ng訓練的SOARING BRONCO勝出，贏出3/4。LEATHER MASTER獲得亞軍；SMASHING EXPRESS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SOARING BRONCO 後段發力 PC/TT 1.34.46 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Avdulla · P C Ng | B Avdulla | P C Ng | 4 | 2.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 13 | LEATHER MASTER 後段發力 V A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 9 | 25.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | SMASHING EXPRESS 後段發力 E- A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 2 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | CASA LEGEND 後段發力 P/TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 8 | 19.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 3 | 6.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | IVICTORIAM 後段發力 TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 7 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | CHILLI BABA 後段發力 B J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 12 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | SILVER DESTINY XB1/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 13 | 36.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | SMART BEAUTY 後段發力 B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 43.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | CHATEAU LE PECHE B C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 6 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 14 | RED MAVERICK 早段領放 TT- M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 5 | 39.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | YOO YOO KNIGHT CP/TT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 1 | 30.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 3 | STRONGEST BOY 後段發力 B2/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 14 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 14 | 8 | MR GOOD VIBES V K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 10 | 28.0 | 38 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SOARING BRONCO | 13.8% | 7.25 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER | 13.8% | 7.26 | 5 |
| 3 | 11 | CHATEAU LE PECHE | 10.9% | 9.13 | 10 |
| 4 | 4 | SMASHING EXPRESS | 10.6% | 9.43 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | IVICTORIAM | 9.6% | 10.38 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | CASA LEGEND | 7.9% | 12.66 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | STRONGEST BOY | 6.8% | 14.65 | 13 |
| 8 | 12 | YOO YOO KNIGHT | 5.6% | 17.74 | 12 |
| 9 | 1 | CHILLI BABA | 5.0% | 19.86 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | SILVER DESTINY | 5.0% | 20.08 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | MR GOOD VIBES | 3.5% | 28.25 | 14 |
| 12 | 14 | RED MAVERICK | 2.6% | 38.49 | 11 |
| 13 | 13 | LEATHER MASTER | 2.5% | 39.92 | 2 |
| 14 | 2 | SMART BEAUTY | 2.2% | 44.83 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 24
PLACE
4 29
5 13
13 58.5
QUINELLA
5,13 265
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 51.5
4,13 359
5,13 101
FORECAST
5,13 415
TIERCE
5,13,4 3,670
TRIO
4,5,13 825
FIRST 4
4,5,10,13 2,962
QUARTET
5,13,4,10 37,547
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
5/5 186.5
5/13 266.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,10/4,5,13 31,032