沙田 · 2025-03-15 · 08:10
第 6場
2025-03-15沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米。由H Bowman策騎、C Fownes訓練的MONARCH COUNTY勝出，贏出1-1/4。PEARL OF PANG'S獲得亞軍；GOOD LUCK BABE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.9倍大熱門GOOD LUCK BABE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MONARCH COUNTY 後段發力 TT 1.24.33 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 11 | 4.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 14 | PEARL OF PANG'S 後段發力 B/TT1 M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 14 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | GOOD LUCK BABE XB/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 1 | 3.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | HANDSOME BOMB CP/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 12 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | VIEW ALL THINGS 後段發力 M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 4 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | DRAGON SUNRISE 後段發力 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 6 | 92.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | WIN SPEED B L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 3 | 8.5 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | FUN TOGETHER CP/TT P N Wong · T P Yung | P N Wong | T P Yung | 10 | 7.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | EVERYONE'S CLASSIC 後段發力 TT J Orman · F C Lor | J Orman | F C Lor | 13 | 81.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | RUN RAN RUN 早段領放 B/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 7 | 21.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | PANDA 後段發力 CP/TT B Thompson · C H Yip | B Thompson | C H Yip | 8 | 22.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | EXCEL WONGCHOY H/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 2 | 7.5 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | CONSPIRACY WITNESS D McDonogh · D A Hayes | D McDonogh | D A Hayes | 5 | 54.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 14 | 13 | PATCH OF LUCKY B/XB1/TT- R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 9 | 68.0 | 15-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GOOD LUCK BABE | 19.1% | 5.23 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | EXCEL WONGCHOY | 17.1% | 5.85 | 12 |
| 3 | 7 | WIN SPEED | 10.2% | 9.78 | 7 |
| 4 | 1 | FUN TOGETHER | 8.0% | 12.53 | 8 |
| 5 | 5 | RUN RAN RUN | 7.3% | 13.63 | 10 |
| 6 | 10 | VIEW ALL THINGS | 7.3% | 13.75 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | MONARCH COUNTY | 6.8% | 14.77 | 1 |
| 8 | 12 | PANDA | 5.5% | 18.30 | 11 |
| 9 | 14 | PEARL OF PANG'S | 4.8% | 20.71 | 2 |
| 10 | 6 | HANDSOME BOMB | 4.8% | 20.72 | 4 |
| 11 | 4 | CONSPIRACY WITNESS | 4.0% | 25.26 | 13 |
| 12 | 8 | EVERYONE'S CLASSIC | 3.2% | 31.61 | 9 |
| 13 | 11 | DRAGON SUNRISE | 1.2% | 85.01 | 6 |
| 14 | 13 | PATCH OF LUCKY | 0.8% | 123.95 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 43
PLACE
3 18.5
9 17.5
14 47
QUINELLA
9,14 411.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 46.5
3,14 139
9,14 145
FORECAST
9,14 700
TIERCE
9,14,3 4,160
TRIO
3,9,14 323
FIRST 4
3,6,9,14 1,690
QUARTET
9,14,3,6 43,397
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,14/3,9,14 459,920
5TH DOUBLE
4/9 197.5
4/14 205.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,9/4,7,14/Any Combination 412,409