沙田 · 2025-03-15 · 06:05
第 3場
2025-03-15沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1000米。由M Chadwick策騎、K L Man訓練的SUPER STRONG KID勝出，贏出1-3/4。BINGO BABE獲得亞軍；NOBLE DELUXE獲得季軍。頭馬以2.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SUPER STRONG KID 0.56.31 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 4 | 2.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | BINGO BABE H1/XB1 M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 2 | 128.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | NOBLE DELUXE PC-/B1/TT B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 13 | 87.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | HONEST WITNESS K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 5.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | CHEVAL VALIANT B/TT P N Wong · D J Whyte | P N Wong | D J Whyte | 9 | 5.7 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | THUNDER PRINCE E/TT H Bowman · W Y So | H Bowman | W Y So | 7 | 9.9 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | SAVVY TWINKLE XB1/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 10 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | GLACIATED J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 11 | 23.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | ALLURING LAOS CP/TT E C W Wong · W K Mo | E C W Wong | W K Mo | 8 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | SPICY KNUCKLES CP/TT A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 5 | 103.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | SUPER GOLDI CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 14 | 7.1 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 14 | MACANESE MASTER B Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 1 | 131.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 6 | GO GENERAL CP1 K De Melo · C H Yip | K De Melo | C H Yip | 3 | 156.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 4 | SUMMIT CHEERS B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 12 | 18.0 | 15-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SUPER STRONG KID | 29.0% | 3.45 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | HONEST WITNESS | 15.5% | 6.45 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 9.6% | 10.42 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 8.8% | 11.40 | 14 |
| 5 | 8 | SUPER GOLDI | 5.8% | 17.29 | 11 |
| 6 | 3 | ALLURING LAOS | 5.7% | 17.68 | 9 |
| 7 | 5 | GLACIATED | 5.1% | 19.49 | 8 |
| 8 | 2 | THUNDER PRINCE | 5.1% | 19.61 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | SAVVY TWINKLE | 4.1% | 24.51 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | GO GENERAL | 3.3% | 30.41 | 13 |
| 11 | 14 | MACANESE MASTER | 2.5% | 40.28 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | NOBLE DELUXE | 2.2% | 45.27 | 3 |
| 13 | 12 | BINGO BABE | 2.1% | 48.41 | 2 |
| 14 | 13 | SPICY KNUCKLES | 1.3% | 75.67 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 29.5
PLACE
9 13.5
11 178
12 246.5
QUINELLA
9,12 1,593.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 409
9,12 520
11,12 4,484
FORECAST
9,12 1,851
TIERCE
9,12,11 36,785
TRIO
9,11,12 26,074
FIRST 4
7,9,11,12 20,836
QUARTET
9,12,11,7 452,567
全部彩池（另 1 項）
2ND DOUBLE
5/9 62
5/12 469