沙田 · 2025-03-15 · 07:05
第 5場
2025-03-15沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1800米。由A Atzeni策騎、K L Man訓練的GOLD MASTER勝出，贏出N。KASA PAPA獲得亞軍；ACE WAR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOLD MASTER 後段發力 B 1.47.22 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 1 | 3.5 | N |
| 2 | 14 | KASA PAPA 後段發力 TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 8 | 21.0 | N |
| 3 | 7 | ACE WAR 後段發力 XB- J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 10 | 69.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | GOOD GOOD B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 13 | 4.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | BRAVE WITNESS P-/XB/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 4 | 28.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE 後段發力 V-/B2/TT1 M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 14 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | VOLCANIC SPARK 後段發力 B H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 5 | 3.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | YOUTH POWER B-/CP1/TT P N Wong · D A Hayes | P N Wong | D A Hayes | 2 | 8.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | BEAUTY LIVE V-/TT Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 12 | 24.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY B/TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 3 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | SERANGOON 後段發力 CP/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 9 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | GLUCK RACER B/H2 B Thompson · W K Mo | B Thompson | W K Mo | 7 | 51.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | QUICK QUICK WIN 早段領放 XB1/TT- C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 11 | 125.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 12 | HEALTHY GOLF XB L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 6 | 140.0 | 13-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOLD MASTER | 19.8% | 5.05 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 16.0% | 6.25 | 7 |
| 3 | 8 | GOOD GOOD | 14.2% | 7.04 | 4 |
| 4 | 11 | YOUTH POWER | 12.1% | 8.29 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 7.6% | 13.21 | 10 |
| 6 | 3 | SERANGOON | 6.1% | 16.38 | 11 |
| 7 | 5 | BEAUTY LIVE | 5.6% | 17.74 | 9 |
| 8 | 14 | KASA PAPA | 4.7% | 21.38 | 2 |
| 9 | 9 | BRAVE WITNESS | 4.6% | 21.62 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE | 3.1% | 32.34 | 6 |
| 11 | 13 | GLUCK RACER | 3.1% | 32.77 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | ACE WAR | 1.7% | 58.75 | 3 |
| 13 | 12 | HEALTHY GOLF | 0.7% | 137.02 | 14 |
| 14 | 10 | QUICK QUICK WIN | 0.7% | 139.56 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 35.5
PLACE
4 15.5
7 149.5
14 45.5
QUINELLA
4,14 320.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 571
4,14 104
7,14 1,809.5
FORECAST
4,14 533
TIERCE
4,14,7 33,167
TRIO
4,7,14 12,028
FIRST 4
4,7,8,14 9,233
QUARTET
4,14,7,8 187,520
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
9/2/4 138
9/2/14 171
4TH DOUBLE
2/4 53
2/14 79