Sha Tin · 2025-03-15 · 15:03
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOLD MASTER Closed strongly B 1.47.22 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 1 | 3.5 | N |
| 2 | 14 | KASA PAPA Closed strongly TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 8 | 21.0 | N |
| 3 | 7 | ACE WAR Closed strongly XB- J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 10 | 69.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | GOOD GOOD B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 13 | 4.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | BRAVE WITNESS P-/XB/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 4 | 28.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE Closed strongly V-/B2/TT1 M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 14 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | VOLCANIC SPARK Closed strongly B H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 5 | 3.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | YOUTH POWER B-/CP1/TT P N Wong · D A Hayes | P N Wong | D A Hayes | 2 | 8.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | BEAUTY LIVE V-/TT Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 12 | 24.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY B/TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 3 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | SERANGOON Closed strongly CP/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 9 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | GLUCK RACER B/H2 B Thompson · W K Mo | B Thompson | W K Mo | 7 | 51.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | QUICK QUICK WIN Led early XB1/TT- C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 11 | 125.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 12 | HEALTHY GOLF XB L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 6 | 140.0 | 13-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-15 was Class 4 over 1800m. GOLD MASTER, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by K L Man, won by N, with KASA PAPA second and ACE WAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOLD MASTER | 19.8% | 5.05 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 16.0% | 6.25 | 7 |
| 3 | 8 | GOOD GOOD | 14.2% | 7.04 | 4 |
| 4 | 11 | YOUTH POWER | 12.1% | 8.29 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 7.6% | 13.21 | 10 |
| 6 | 3 | SERANGOON | 6.1% | 16.38 | 11 |
| 7 | 5 | BEAUTY LIVE | 5.6% | 17.74 | 9 |
| 8 | 14 | KASA PAPA | 4.7% | 21.38 | 2 |
| 9 | 9 | BRAVE WITNESS | 4.6% | 21.62 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE | 3.1% | 32.34 | 6 |
| 11 | 13 | GLUCK RACER | 3.1% | 32.77 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | ACE WAR | 1.7% | 58.75 | 3 |
| 13 | 12 | HEALTHY GOLF | 0.7% | 137.02 | 14 |
| 14 | 10 | QUICK QUICK WIN | 0.7% | 139.56 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 35.5
PLACE
4 15.5
7 149.5
14 45.5
QUINELLA
4,14 320.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 571
4,14 104
7,14 1,809.5
FORECAST
4,14 533
TIERCE
4,14,7 33,167
TRIO
4,7,14 12,028
FIRST 4
4,7,8,14 9,233
QUARTET
4,14,7,8 187,520
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
9/2/4 138
9/2/14 171
4TH DOUBLE
2/4 53
2/14 79