Sha Tin · 2025-03-15 · 09:15
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-15 was Class 3 over 1200m. LIFELINE EXPRESS, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by J Size, won by 1-3/4, with GENEVA second and LO PAN SPIRIT third. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LIFELINE EXPRESS E 1.10.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 8 | 3.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | GENEVA B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 10 | 5.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | LO PAN SPIRIT B/TT R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 9 | 5.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | FUN ELITE TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 1 | 4.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | ALSONSO A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 5 | 27.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | KNOW AT HEART K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 3 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | FLYING TING LOK P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 2 | 17.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | MODULECONSTRUCTION TT D McDonogh · K W Lui | D McDonogh | K W Lui | 7 | 26.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | CHEVAL VICTORIOUS XB1 H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 11 | 64.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | DREAM WINNER CP/TT L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 6 | 24.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | AWESOME TREASURE CP/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 68.0 | 18-3/4 |
| — | 2 | MASTER CHAMPION H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GENEVA | 24.8% | 4.04 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | LIFELINE EXPRESS | 17.0% | 5.87 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | FLYING TING LOK | 11.9% | 8.40 | 7 |
| 4 | 9 | LO PAN SPIRIT | 10.1% | 9.87 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | FUN ELITE | 8.5% | 11.75 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | MODULECONSTRUCTION | 7.4% | 13.50 | 8 |
| 7 | 12 | KNOW AT HEART | 5.7% | 17.40 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | DREAM WINNER | 5.4% | 18.47 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | ALSONSO | 4.3% | 23.01 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | CHEVAL VICTORIOUS | 2.7% | 36.50 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | AWESOME TREASURE | 2.0% | 49.33 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 30
PLACE
4 13.5
6 17
9 19.5
QUINELLA
4,6 69.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 29
4,9 31
6,9 48
FORECAST
4,6 109
TIERCE
4,6,9 515
TRIO
4,6,9 112
FIRST 4
4,6,8,9 107
QUARTET
4,6,9,8 1,326
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,9/6,9>2,4 1,867
7TH DOUBLE
2/2,4 60.5
2/6 20.5