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Sha Tin · 2025-03-15 · 10:25

Race 10

Class 3 1400m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-15 was Class 3 over 1400m. HONG LOK GOLF, ridden by H Bentley and trained by W Y So, won by N, with SKY JEWELLERY second and SKY TRUST third. The winner led throughout. The 2.0 favourite SKY JEWELLERY finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.22.80
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 HONG LOK GOLF Wire to wire TT 1.22.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · W Y So 3 4.7 N
2 7 SKY JEWELLERY Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size 7 2.0 N
3 1 SKY TRUST Closed strongly H/TT H Bowman · C Fownes 6 5.3 2-3/4
4 5 CHAIN OF GOLD CP/H/TT C L Chau · W K Mo 1 42.0 3-1/4
5 12 REZEKI CP1 K Teetan · D J Hall 2 35.0 3-1/4
6 9 RIDING TOGETHER XB-/TT M Chadwick · D Eustace 5 39.0 3-1/4
7 8 KING MILES Closed strongly K De Melo · K W Lui 8 13.0 4
8 2 STAR CONTACT Closed strongly B/TT D McDonogh · D A Hayes 12 72.0 5
9 10 YIU CHEUNG VICTORY SR Y L Chung · C H Yip 10 150.0 5
10 4 FIGHTING MACHINE Closed strongly SR/V J Orman · P C Ng 11 30.0 5-1/4
11 3 BEAUTY CRESCENT TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 4 11.0 5-1/4
12 11 AMAZING VICTORY TT- L Hewitson · C W Chang 9 35.0 6-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HONG LOK GOLF2. SKY JEWELLERY+0.05L3. SKY TRUST+2.75L4. CHAIN OF GOLD+3.25L5. REZEKI+3.25L6. RIDING TOGETHER+3.25L7. KING MILES+4L8. STAR CONTACT+5L9. YIU CHEUNG VICTORY+5L10. FIGHTING MACHINE+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick SKY JEWELLERY (35.8%) finished 2nd — the winner HONG LOK GOLF was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 SKY JEWELLERY 35.8% 2.79 2
2 6 HONG LOK GOLF 25.4% 3.94 1
3 1 SKY TRUST 10.8% 9.23 3
4 3 BEAUTY CRESCENT 10.3% 9.66 11
5 4 FIGHTING MACHINE 3.8% 26.05 10
6 5 CHAIN OF GOLD 3.5% 28.50 4
7 8 KING MILES 2.6% 38.65 7
8 2 STAR CONTACT 2.2% 45.95 8
9 12 REZEKI 2.2% 46.10 5
10 9 RIDING TOGETHER 1.5% 67.58 6
11 11 AMAZING VICTORY 1.4% 70.98 12
12 10 YIU CHEUNG VICTORY 0.5% 213.64 9
SKY JEWELLERYHONG LOK GOLF — wonSKY TRUSTBEAUTY CRESCENTFIGHTING MACHINECHAIN OF GOLDKING MILESSTAR CONTACTREZEKIRIDING TOGETHERAMAZING VICTORYYIU CHEUNG VICTORY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 47

PLACE

1 16

6 16

7 11

QUINELLA

6,7 45

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 39

1,7 23.5

6,7 21

FORECAST

6,7 123

TIERCE

6,7,1 379

TRIO

1,6,7 60

FIRST 4

1,5,6,7 271

QUARTET

6,7,1,5 3,590

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

2,4/5/6 259

2,4/5/7 12

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

4,5,8/1,6,7 205,219

9TH DOUBLE

5/6 80

5/7 10.5

SIX UP

4/9/2/2,4/5/6 2,836

4,14/9,14/2,6/2,4,6/5,8/6,7 337

1 [H Bowman]

1 [J Size]