Sha Tin · 2025-03-15 · 05:05
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-15 was Class 5 over 1200m. WORLD HERO, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1/2, with FAIRY HORSE second and SPEEDY SMARTIE third. The 3.9 favourite THE CONCENTRATION finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | WORLD HERO B 1.09.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 7 | 7.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | FAIRY HORSE SB/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 1 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | SPEEDY SMARTIE CP/TT B Avdulla · T P Yung | B Avdulla | T P Yung | 8 | 5.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | THE CONCENTRATION PC/TT J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 3 | 3.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | SUPER EAGLE TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 12 | 29.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | ALMIGHTY KICK XB R Kingscote · K W Lui | R Kingscote | K W Lui | 2 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | GALLANT GOODY XB- M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 39.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | TSUEN WAN GLORY TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 9 | 22.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | URBAN TRIUMPH V/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 4 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | DOUBLE BINGO H/P/TT M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 56.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | WINNING HEART B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 10 | 16.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | BULB EMPEROR V1/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 5 | 13.0 | 23 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | THE CONCENTRATION | 22.1% | 4.52 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | FAIRY HORSE | 21.0% | 4.77 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | WINNING HEART | 13.9% | 7.19 | 11 |
| 4 | 4 | URBAN TRIUMPH | 7.3% | 13.69 | 9 |
| 5 | 11 | GALLANT GOODY | 6.4% | 15.57 | 7 |
| 6 | 10 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 6.1% | 16.38 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | BULB EMPEROR | 5.2% | 19.27 | 12 |
| 8 | 5 | WORLD HERO | 4.7% | 21.44 | 1 |
| 9 | 6 | SUPER EAGLE | 3.8% | 26.03 | 5 |
| 10 | 8 | ALMIGHTY KICK | 3.7% | 26.86 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | DOUBLE BINGO | 2.9% | 34.69 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 2.9% | 34.89 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 72.5
PLACE
2 16.5
5 22.5
10 21
QUINELLA
2,5 179.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 63.5
2,10 52.5
5,10 79.5
FORECAST
5,2 451
TIERCE
5,2,10 2,154
TRIO
2,5,10 358
FIRST 4
2,3,5,10 222
QUARTET
5,2,10,3 5,776