Sha Tin · 2025-03-15 · 06:35
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-15 was Class 4 over 1200m. CROSSBORDERPEGASUS, ridden by H Bowman and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with LUCKY SYMPHONY second and SUPER LOVE third. Victory came as the 1.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CROSSBORDERPEGASUS TT 1.08.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 2 | 1.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | LUCKY SYMPHONY H/P/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 5 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | SUPER LOVE K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 7 | 27.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | SHINY RAPIDASH H1/B2/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 6 | 154.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | HAPPY PARK XB2 J Orman · K W Lui | J Orman | K W Lui | 4 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | DAZZLING FIT XB1 L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 10 | 6.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | DASH L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 31.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | CIRCUIT DUFFY K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 46.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | AMAZING GALAXY CP1 R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 12 | 101.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | FLYING AKEED B2 P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 1 | 68.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | TAIHANG SCENERY H/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 8 | 67.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | SUPER SICARIO H/XB A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 11 | 210.0 | 7-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CROSSBORDERPEGASUS | 63.6% | 1.57 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | SUPER LOVE | 8.8% | 11.31 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | DAZZLING FIT | 6.9% | 14.56 | 6 |
| 4 | 9 | LUCKY SYMPHONY | 5.5% | 18.14 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | HAPPY PARK | 3.6% | 27.45 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | CIRCUIT DUFFY | 2.9% | 34.07 | 8 |
| 7 | 12 | TAIHANG SCENERY | 2.2% | 45.60 | 11 |
| 8 | 5 | DASH | 1.8% | 56.13 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | FLYING AKEED | 1.3% | 76.41 | 10 |
| 10 | 11 | SHINY RAPIDASH | 1.3% | 77.34 | 4 |
| 11 | 8 | AMAZING GALAXY | 1.2% | 82.63 | 9 |
| 12 | 7 | SUPER SICARIO | 0.8% | 125.04 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 13
PLACE
2 10.5
3 35
9 17.5
QUINELLA
2,9 54
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 48.5
2,9 23.5
3,9 112
FORECAST
2,9 70
TIERCE
2,9,3 424
TRIO
2,3,9 143
FIRST 4
2,3,9,11 2,236
QUARTET
2,9,3,11 13,387
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
9,11,12/2,3,9 775,073
3RD DOUBLE
9/2 37
9/9 30