Sha Tin · 2025-03-15 · 17:48
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | JUNEAU PRIDE Closed strongly 1.22.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 2 | 1.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS B/TT B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 4 | 132.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | KEEFY Closed strongly M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 9 | 64.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | CHING Closed strongly B1 L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 1 | 25.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | KAHOLO ANGEL Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 3 | 6.5 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | STORMING DRAGON Closed strongly V-/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 8 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | HELENE WARRIOR Closed strongly XB/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 10 | 52.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | MASTER OF ALL Led early B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 6 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | VICTORY SKY SR A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 5 | 5.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | BUCEPHALAS H/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 12 | 22.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | IGOT TT1 C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 11 | 107.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 7 | WONDERSTAR B Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 7 | 98.0 | 11-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-15 was Class 3 over 1400m. JUNEAU PRIDE, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Size, won by 3/4, with EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS second and KEEFY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | JUNEAU PRIDE | 47.3% | 2.11 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | VICTORY SKY | 11.4% | 8.76 | 9 |
| 3 | 12 | MASTER OF ALL | 10.8% | 9.30 | 8 |
| 4 | 2 | KAHOLO ANGEL | 8.4% | 11.87 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | STORMING DRAGON | 5.2% | 19.25 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | BUCEPHALAS | 4.3% | 23.38 | 10 |
| 7 | 4 | KEEFY | 3.6% | 27.84 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | HELENE WARRIOR | 2.8% | 35.50 | 7 |
| 9 | 3 | CHING | 2.7% | 37.47 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | WONDERSTAR | 1.8% | 56.89 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | IGOT | 0.9% | 108.87 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS | 0.9% | 112.50 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 17.5
PLACE
4 120.5
5 10.1
8 225.5
QUINELLA
5,8 1,192.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 205
4,8 2,457
5,8 379
FORECAST
5,8 1,092
TIERCE
5,8,4 10,145
TRIO
4,5,8 4,026
FIRST 4
3,4,5,8 17,958
QUARTET
5,8,4,3 201,239
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
2,4/5 61
2,4/8 288.5