Sha Tin · 2025-03-15 · 13:32
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SOARING BRONCO Closed strongly PC/TT 1.34.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · P C Ng | B Avdulla | P C Ng | 4 | 2.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 13 | LEATHER MASTER Closed strongly V A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 9 | 25.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | SMASHING EXPRESS Closed strongly E- A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 2 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | CASA LEGEND Closed strongly P/TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 8 | 19.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 3 | 6.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | IVICTORIAM Closed strongly TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 7 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | CHILLI BABA Closed strongly B J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 12 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | SILVER DESTINY XB1/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 13 | 36.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | SMART BEAUTY Closed strongly B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 43.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | CHATEAU LE PECHE B C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 6 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 14 | RED MAVERICK Led early TT- M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 5 | 39.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | YOO YOO KNIGHT CP/TT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 1 | 30.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 3 | STRONGEST BOY Closed strongly B2/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 14 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 14 | 8 | MR GOOD VIBES V K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 10 | 28.0 | 38 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-15 was Class 5 over 1600m. SOARING BRONCO, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by P C Ng, won by 3/4, with LEATHER MASTER second and SMASHING EXPRESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SOARING BRONCO | 13.8% | 7.25 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER | 13.8% | 7.26 | 5 |
| 3 | 11 | CHATEAU LE PECHE | 10.9% | 9.13 | 10 |
| 4 | 4 | SMASHING EXPRESS | 10.6% | 9.43 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | IVICTORIAM | 9.6% | 10.38 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | CASA LEGEND | 7.9% | 12.66 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | STRONGEST BOY | 6.8% | 14.65 | 13 |
| 8 | 12 | YOO YOO KNIGHT | 5.6% | 17.74 | 12 |
| 9 | 1 | CHILLI BABA | 5.0% | 19.86 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | SILVER DESTINY | 5.0% | 20.08 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | MR GOOD VIBES | 3.5% | 28.25 | 14 |
| 12 | 14 | RED MAVERICK | 2.6% | 38.49 | 11 |
| 13 | 13 | LEATHER MASTER | 2.5% | 39.92 | 2 |
| 14 | 2 | SMART BEAUTY | 2.2% | 44.83 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 24
PLACE
4 29
5 13
13 58.5
QUINELLA
5,13 265
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 51.5
4,13 359
5,13 101
FORECAST
5,13 415
TIERCE
5,13,4 3,670
TRIO
4,5,13 825
FIRST 4
4,5,10,13 2,962
QUARTET
5,13,4,10 37,547
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
5/5 186.5
5/13 266.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,10/4,5,13 31,032