沙田 · 2025-05-18 · 09:55
第 10場
2025-05-18沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1600米。由J Orman策騎、W Y So訓練的WINNING GOLD勝出，贏出3/4。MORGAN SUCCESS獲得亞軍；HUGE WAVE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.2倍大熱門DEFINITIVE跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | WINNING GOLD 後段發力 TT 1.34.98 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 10 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 14 | MORGAN SUCCESS 後段發力 XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 5.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | HUGE WAVE 後段發力 TT H Bowman · K H Ting | H Bowman | K H Ting | 11 | 8.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | MAGNIFICENT NINE 後段發力 B/E A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 3 | 4.5 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | ROMANTIC LAOS 後段發力 CP/TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 9 | 67.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | TOURBILLON PRINCE TT P N Wong · T P Yung | P N Wong | T P Yung | 1 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | SUPERB KID 後段發力 CP L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 12 | 74.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 13 | MEGA FORCE K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 7 | 73.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | STAR MAC B/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 4 | 7.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | DEFINITIVE 早段領放 B/TT Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 5 | 4.2 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | SUPREME AGILITY TT M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 2 | 30.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | NOBLE PURSUIT 後段發力 TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 14 | 92.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 12 | CHING B- M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 13 | 23.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 3 | OUTGATE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 41.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 0 | THE BEST PEACH B Thompson · A S Cruz | B Thompson | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | DEFINITIVE | 26.9% | 3.72 | 10 |
| 2 | 11 | MAGNIFICENT NINE | 15.6% | 6.40 | 4 |
| 3 | 14 | MORGAN SUCCESS | 9.8% | 10.15 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | STAR MAC | 9.0% | 11.06 | 9 |
| 5 | 2 | HUGE WAVE | 6.2% | 16.16 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | WINNING GOLD | 5.8% | 17.30 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 5.6% | 17.75 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | SUPREME AGILITY | 4.1% | 24.32 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | CHING | 4.0% | 24.83 | 13 |
| 10 | 5 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 3.6% | 27.99 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | NOBLE PURSUIT | 3.1% | 32.53 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | SUPERB KID | 2.6% | 37.99 | 7 |
| 13 | 3 | OUTGATE | 1.8% | 54.65 | 14 |
| 14 | 13 | MEGA FORCE | 1.8% | 56.36 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 126
PLACE
2 27
8 38.5
14 22.5
QUINELLA
8,14 368
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 144
2,14 88
8,14 120
FORECAST
8,14 805
TIERCE
8,14,2 6,528
TRIO
2,8,14 919
FIRST 4
2,8,11,14 810
QUARTET
8,14,2,11 24,687
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
14/3/8 11,756
14/3/14 1,267
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,10/2,8,14 54,739
9TH DOUBLE
3/8 954.5
3/14 94
SIX UP
1,4/2,3/4,7/1,14/3,8/8,14 18,806
4/3/7/14/3/8 1,394,342
1 [Z Purton] —
1 [D A Hayes] —