沙田 · 2025-05-18 · 05:20
第 2場
2025-05-18沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1200米。由P N Wong策騎、K L Man訓練的PATCH OF WATCH勝出，贏出2。HINOKAMI KAGURA獲得亞軍；DOUBLE BINGO獲得季軍。頭馬以2.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PATCH OF WATCH B/TT 1.09.35 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 9 | 2.8 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | HINOKAMI KAGURA BO M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 2 | 6.4 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | DOUBLE BINGO P2 M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 4 | 35.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | FALCON COURT V/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 5 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | SUPERB MOVE B/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 3 | 55.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | LUCKY GENERATIONS H-/P-/PC1/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 12 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 1 | EXCELLENT DADDY CP/TT L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 7 | 18.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | CHEER FOR SOUTH PC A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 8 | 3.3 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | SPEEDY FORTUNE CP/TT K C Leung · D Eustace | K C Leung | D Eustace | 1 | 21.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | TALENTS SUPREMO V/TT J Orman · W K Mo | J Orman | W K Mo | 6 | 50.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | THE CONCENTRATION PC/TT C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 10 | 18.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | GLORIOUS EXPERT P L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 11 | 88.0 | 10-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CHEER FOR SOUTH | 22.7% | 4.41 | 8 |
| 2 | 9 | PATCH OF WATCH | 22.4% | 4.47 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | HINOKAMI KAGURA | 20.9% | 4.78 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | TALENTS SUPREMO | 5.4% | 18.67 | 10 |
| 5 | 3 | THE CONCENTRATION | 5.2% | 19.05 | 11 |
| 6 | 1 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 4.4% | 22.57 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | FALCON COURT | 4.3% | 23.29 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 4.0% | 25.06 | 9 |
| 9 | 12 | SUPERB MOVE | 3.6% | 27.86 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | LUCKY GENERATIONS | 3.4% | 29.60 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | DOUBLE BINGO | 2.2% | 44.84 | 3 |
| 12 | 4 | GLORIOUS EXPERT | 1.5% | 65.86 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 28.5
PLACE
2 20
9 12.5
11 72.5
QUINELLA
2,9 111.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 42.5
2,11 280.5
9,11 135
FORECAST
9,2 184
TIERCE
9,2,11 3,258
TRIO
2,9,11 907
FIRST 4
2,8,9,11 2,192
QUARTET
9,2,11,8 30,213
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
12/2 59
12/9 163.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,12/2,9,11 44,926