沙田 · 2025-05-18 · 07:15
第 5場
2025-05-18沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1000米。由H Bowman策騎、C Fownes訓練的DANCING CLASSICS勝出，贏出1。FUN ELITE獲得亞軍；HEROIC MASTER獲得季軍。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DANCING CLASSICS TT1 0.55.57 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 12 | 2.5 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | FUN ELITE TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 7 | 3.3 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | HEROIC MASTER B/TT L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 4 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 14 | BINGO BABE H/XB M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 5 | 26.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | INVICTUS DRAGON H1 K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 14 | 8.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 13 | NOBLE DELUXE B/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 26.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | NEW ASIA GREAT H1 J Orman · D A Hayes | J Orman | D A Hayes | 8 | 45.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | FORTUNE RACER H-/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 2 | 65.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | THUNDER BLINK B/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 13 | 22.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | AMAZING FUN H/TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 10 | 27.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | ISLAND BREEZES B-/CP1/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 11 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | LEADING ARTICLE CP1/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 1 | 91.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | WATCH THE FORT L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 9 | 113.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | BEAUTY FORMULA CP1/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 108.0 | 9 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DANCING CLASSICS | 33.2% | 3.02 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | FUN ELITE | 16.3% | 6.12 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | ISLAND BREEZES | 10.3% | 9.69 | 11 |
| 4 | 2 | AMAZING FUN | 7.0% | 14.21 | 10 |
| 5 | 3 | HEROIC MASTER | 5.7% | 17.62 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | INVICTUS DRAGON | 5.5% | 18.35 | 5 |
| 7 | 13 | NOBLE DELUXE | 4.6% | 21.65 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | THUNDER BLINK | 4.5% | 22.43 | 9 |
| 9 | 14 | BINGO BABE | 4.4% | 22.73 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | WATCH THE FORT | 2.4% | 42.49 | 13 |
| 11 | 6 | LEADING ARTICLE | 2.1% | 47.80 | 12 |
| 12 | 9 | NEW ASIA GREAT | 1.6% | 62.57 | 7 |
| 13 | 12 | FORTUNE RACER | 1.3% | 77.46 | 8 |
| 14 | 10 | BEAUTY FORMULA | 1.2% | 82.13 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 25.5
PLACE
1 13
3 23.5
4 14.5
QUINELLA
1,4 45.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 45
1,4 24
3,4 49.5
FORECAST
4,1 86
TIERCE
4,1,3 398
TRIO
1,3,4 125
FIRST 4
1,3,4,14 459
QUARTET
4,1,3,14 4,982
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
6/2/1 123
6/2/4 968
4TH DOUBLE
2/1 23
2/4 104