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Sha Tin · 2025-05-18 · 07:15

Race 5

Class 4 1000m Course C+3 14 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-18 was Class 4 over 1000m. DANCING CLASSICS, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C Fownes, won by 1, with FUN ELITE second and HEROIC MASTER third. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.

Result

Official · 0.55.57
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 DANCING CLASSICS TT1 0.55.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C Fownes 12 2.5 1
2 1 FUN ELITE TT Z Purton · T P Yung 7 3.3 1
3 3 HEROIC MASTER B/TT L Ferraris · F C Lor 4 10.0 1-3/4
4 14 BINGO BABE H/XB M F Poon · Y S Tsui 5 26.0 2-1/4
5 5 INVICTUS DRAGON H1 K C Leung · K W Lui 14 8.2 2-1/2
6 13 NOBLE DELUXE B/TT A Badel · J Size 6 26.0 3
7 9 NEW ASIA GREAT H1 J Orman · D A Hayes 8 45.0 3-3/4
8 12 FORTUNE RACER H-/TT K De Melo · W Y So 2 65.0 4-1/4
9 8 THUNDER BLINK B/TT H Bentley · K H Ting 13 22.0 4-1/2
10 2 AMAZING FUN H/TT C L Chau · C H Yip 10 27.0 5-1/2
11 11 ISLAND BREEZES B-/CP1/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng 11 12.0 6
12 6 LEADING ARTICLE CP1/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 1 91.0 6-1/2
13 7 WATCH THE FORT L Hewitson · D J Hall 9 113.0 6-3/4
14 10 BEAUTY FORMULA CP1/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 3 108.0 9

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DANCING CLASSICS2. FUN ELITE+1L3. HEROIC MASTER+1.75L4. BINGO BABE+2.25L5. INVICTUS DRAGON+2.5L6. NOBLE DELUXE+3L7. NEW ASIA GREAT+3.75L8. FORTUNE RACER+4.25L9. THUNDER BLINK+4.5L10. AMAZING FUN+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick DANCING CLASSICS (33.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 DANCING CLASSICS 33.2% 3.02 1
2 1 FUN ELITE 16.3% 6.12 2
3 11 ISLAND BREEZES 10.3% 9.69 11
4 2 AMAZING FUN 7.0% 14.21 10
5 3 HEROIC MASTER 5.7% 17.62 3
6 5 INVICTUS DRAGON 5.5% 18.35 5
7 13 NOBLE DELUXE 4.6% 21.65 6
8 8 THUNDER BLINK 4.5% 22.43 9
9 14 BINGO BABE 4.4% 22.73 4
10 7 WATCH THE FORT 2.4% 42.49 13
11 6 LEADING ARTICLE 2.1% 47.80 12
12 9 NEW ASIA GREAT 1.6% 62.57 7
13 12 FORTUNE RACER 1.3% 77.46 8
14 10 BEAUTY FORMULA 1.2% 82.13 14
DANCING CLASSICS — wonFUN ELITEISLAND BREEZESAMAZING FUNHEROIC MASTERINVICTUS DRAGONNOBLE DELUXETHUNDER BLINKBINGO BABEWATCH THE FORTLEADING ARTICLENEW ASIA GREATFORTUNE RACERBEAUTY FORMULA

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 25.5

PLACE

1 13

3 23.5

4 14.5

QUINELLA

1,4 45.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 45

1,4 24

3,4 49.5

FORECAST

4,1 86

TIERCE

4,1,3 398

TRIO

1,3,4 125

FIRST 4

1,3,4,14 459

QUARTET

4,1,3,14 4,982

All pools (2 more)

1ST TREBLE

6/2/1 123

6/2/4 968

4TH DOUBLE

2/1 23

2/4 104