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Sha Tin · 2025-05-18 · 08:45

Race 8

Class 4 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-18 was Class 4 over 1400m. WORLD HERO, ridden by A Badel and trained by D A Hayes, won by 3/4, with SUGAR BALL second and BULL ATTITUDE third. The winner led throughout. The 2.6 favourite WITH A SMILE finished 8th.

Result

Official · 1.22.07
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 14 WORLD HERO Wire to wire B 1.22.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · D A Hayes 5 7.2 3/4
2 1 SUGAR BALL TT K C Leung · W K Mo 4 6.4 3/4
3 9 BULL ATTITUDE Closed strongly L Hewitson · M Newnham 6 16.0 3-1/4
4 12 SIGHT DREAMER Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · J Size 7 6.6 3-1/4
5 13 DRAGON SUNRISE Closed strongly CP1 K De Melo · K W Lui 2 62.0 3-3/4
6 4 CAPITAL LEGEND Closed strongly B1/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes 9 31.0 4-1/2
7 5 QUICK CONTRIBUTION Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Hall 14 8.7 4-1/2
8 2 WITH A SMILE TT Z Purton · W Y So 13 2.6 5-1/4
9 11 BLAZING BEAM SR/TT H Bentley · K H Ting 1 19.0 6
10 3 ACROSS DA UNIVERSE XB/TT E C W Wong · P C Ng 3 12.0 6
11 6 RADIANT SWIFT Closed strongly B B Thompson · T P Yung 12 209.0 6-3/4
12 7 RATTAN GALAXY B-/TT P N Wong · K L Man 11 106.0 7-1/4
13 10 REGENCY WIN WIN CP/TT C L Chau · C S Shum 10 155.0 8-3/4
14 8 SANDMAN CP-/B1/TT J Orman · D Eustace 8 165.0 10-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WORLD HERO2. SUGAR BALL+0.75L3. BULL ATTITUDE+3.25L4. SIGHT DREAMER+3.25L5. DRAGON SUNRISE+3.75L6. CAPITAL LEGEND+4.5L7. QUICK CONTRIBUTION+4.5L8. WITH A SMILE+5.25L9. BLAZING BEAM+6L10. ACROSS DA UNIVERSE+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick WITH A SMILE (32.2%) finished 8th — the winner WORLD HERO was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 WITH A SMILE 32.2% 3.11 8
2 5 QUICK CONTRIBUTION 14.4% 6.96 7
3 14 WORLD HERO 11.4% 8.74 1
4 12 SIGHT DREAMER 10.3% 9.74 4
5 1 SUGAR BALL 6.8% 14.69 2
6 3 ACROSS DA UNIVERSE 6.7% 15.01 10
7 13 DRAGON SUNRISE 5.2% 19.10 5
8 9 BULL ATTITUDE 3.4% 29.50 3
9 4 CAPITAL LEGEND 3.3% 30.28 6
10 11 BLAZING BEAM 2.5% 39.37 9
11 10 REGENCY WIN WIN 1.7% 57.43 13
12 7 RATTAN GALAXY 0.8% 132.90 12
13 8 SANDMAN 0.7% 146.92 14
14 6 RADIANT SWIFT 0.6% 160.52 11
WITH A SMILEQUICK CONTRIBUTIONWORLD HERO — wonSIGHT DREAMERSUGAR BALLACROSS DA UNIVERSEDRAGON SUNRISEBULL ATTITUDECAPITAL LEGENDBLAZING BEAMREGENCY WIN WINRATTAN GALAXYSANDMANRADIANT SWIFT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

14 72.5

PLACE

1 20.5

9 42

14 25

QUINELLA

1,14 287.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,9 175.5

1,14 86.5

9,14 202.5

FORECAST

14,1 578

TIERCE

14,1,9 7,903

TRIO

1,9,14 1,356

FIRST 4

1,9,12,14 1,443

QUARTET

14,1,9,12 38,448

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

4,7,10/1,9,14 117,047

7TH DOUBLE

7/1 67.5

7/14 1,257