Sha Tin · 2025-05-18 · 08:15
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-18 was Class 3 over 1200m. SOLID SHALAA, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by D A Hayes, won by N, with PACKING BOLE second and MR ENERGIA third. The 2.8 favourite GUMMY GUMMY finished 11th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SOLID SHALAA B/TT 1.08.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 2 | 7.6 | N |
| 2 | 4 | PACKING BOLE CP/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 7 | 16.0 | N |
| 3 | 10 | MR ENERGIA B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 3.5 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | BUNDLE OF CHARM P H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 5 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | MOJAVE DESERT CP-/XB/B2 A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 12 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | MASK RIDER B1/TT P N Wong · W Y So | P N Wong | W Y So | 10 | 8.5 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | MASTER CHAMPION CP1/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 3 | 20.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | JOLLY RULER TT K De Melo · P F Yiu | K De Melo | P F Yiu | 11 | 19.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | VICTORY MOMENTS B/SR/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 8 | 41.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | BRIGHT DAY CP-/B2/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 6 | 49.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | GUMMY GUMMY B Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 4 | 2.8 | 14-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | WARRIORS DREAM H-/P/XB/TT Y L Chung · D Eustace | Y L Chung | D Eustace | 9 | 125.0 | 18 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GUMMY GUMMY | 24.7% | 4.06 | 11 |
| 2 | 10 | MR ENERGIA | 23.1% | 4.33 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | MASK RIDER | 10.0% | 9.99 | 6 |
| 4 | 2 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 9.9% | 10.06 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | SOLID SHALAA | 9.5% | 10.58 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | MOJAVE DESERT | 5.8% | 17.31 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | JOLLY RULER | 4.9% | 20.44 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | PACKING BOLE | 4.7% | 21.25 | 2 |
| 9 | 5 | VICTORY MOMENTS | 2.3% | 42.74 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | MASTER CHAMPION | 2.3% | 44.07 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | BRIGHT DAY | 2.1% | 48.74 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | WARRIORS DREAM | 0.8% | 125.60 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 76.5
PLACE
4 49.5
7 20.5
10 13.5
QUINELLA
4,7 688
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 194.5
4,10 119
7,10 39
FORECAST
7,4 1,395
TIERCE
7,4,10 5,585
TRIO
4,7,10 699
FIRST 4
2,4,7,10 1,704
QUARTET
7,4,10,2 46,941
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
3/4 148
3/7 421