Sha Tin · 2025-05-18 · 06:45
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-18 was Class 5 over 1400m. TSUEN WAN GLORY, ridden by P N Wong and trained by K L Man, won by 1-1/2, with CASHISCASH second and FAIRY HORSE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite FAIRY HORSE finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | TSUEN WAN GLORY Closed strongly TT 1.21.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 8 | 7.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | CASHISCASH Closed strongly SR- L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 9.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | FAIRY HORSE Closed strongly SB/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 2 | 3.8 | 5-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP Closed strongly B-/V1 L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 10 | 10.0 | 6 |
| 5 | 1 | KA YING POWER Closed strongly SR-/H A Atzeni · T P Yung | A Atzeni | T P Yung | 1 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | YOO YOO KNIGHT CP/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 6 | 15.0 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | TIMESTORM Closed strongly V/TT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 14 | 11.0 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | FOREMOST TEDDY B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 13 | 21.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 | ALMIGHTY KICK XB K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 3 | 7.6 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | HAPPY TANGO Led early B E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 5 | 34.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | PERFECTO MOMENTS Closed strongly CP- H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 12 | 20.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 14 | CALIFORNIA ICON B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 13.0 | 13 |
| 13 | 3 | COMMANDING MISSILE B2 C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 9 | 33.0 | 23 |
| 14 | 5 | MACANESE MASTER B-/CP1/TT1 J Orman · C H Yip | J Orman | C H Yip | 7 | 54.0 | 27-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FAIRY HORSE | 16.1% | 6.21 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | ALMIGHTY KICK | 10.0% | 10.01 | 9 |
| 3 | 12 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 9.7% | 10.34 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | FOREMOST TEDDY | 9.4% | 10.67 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | KA YING POWER | 8.4% | 11.91 | 5 |
| 6 | 11 | TIMESTORM | 7.6% | 13.16 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | HAPPY TANGO | 6.2% | 16.09 | 10 |
| 8 | 10 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP | 6.1% | 16.40 | 4 |
| 9 | 13 | YOO YOO KNIGHT | 5.9% | 16.87 | 6 |
| 10 | 2 | CASHISCASH | 5.7% | 17.63 | 2 |
| 11 | 14 | CALIFORNIA ICON | 5.2% | 19.32 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | PERFECTO MOMENTS | 4.5% | 22.33 | 11 |
| 13 | 5 | MACANESE MASTER | 2.9% | 34.82 | 14 |
| 14 | 3 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 2.4% | 41.05 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 71
PLACE
2 31.5
6 14.5
12 29
QUINELLA
2,12 427
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 76.5
2,12 140.5
6,12 67
FORECAST
12,2 739
TIERCE
12,2,6 2,954
TRIO
2,6,12 550
FIRST 4
2,6,10,12 1,469
QUARTET
12,2,6,10 34,437