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Sha Tin · 2025-05-18 · 12:46

Race 1

Class 5 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.70
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 TSUEN WAN GLORY Closed strongly TT 1.21.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) P N Wong · K L Man 8 7.1 1-1/2
2 2 CASHISCASH Closed strongly SR- L Hewitson · D J Whyte 4 9.9 1-1/2
3 6 FAIRY HORSE Closed strongly SB/TT H Bowman · C Fownes 2 3.8 5-3/4
4 10 JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP Closed strongly B-/V1 L Ferraris · P F Yiu 10 10.0 6
5 1 KA YING POWER Closed strongly SR-/H A Atzeni · T P Yung 1 11.0 6-1/4
6 13 YOO YOO KNIGHT CP/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 6 15.0 7
7 11 TIMESTORM Closed strongly V/TT Z Purton · D J Hall 14 11.0 8
8 4 FOREMOST TEDDY B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum 13 21.0 8
9 9 ALMIGHTY KICK XB K C Leung · K W Lui 3 7.6 9-3/4
10 8 HAPPY TANGO Led early B E C W Wong · Y S Tsui 5 34.0 11-1/4
11 7 PERFECTO MOMENTS Closed strongly CP- H Bentley · K H Ting 12 20.0 12-1/4
12 14 CALIFORNIA ICON B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 11 13.0 13
13 3 COMMANDING MISSILE B2 C L Chau · C W Chang 9 33.0 23
14 5 MACANESE MASTER B-/CP1/TT1 J Orman · C H Yip 7 54.0 27-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-18 was Class 5 over 1400m. TSUEN WAN GLORY, ridden by P N Wong and trained by K L Man, won by 1-1/2, with CASHISCASH second and FAIRY HORSE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite FAIRY HORSE finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TSUEN WAN GLORY—2. CASHISCASH+1.5L3. FAIRY HORSE+5.75L4. JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP+6L5. KA YING POWER+6.25L6. YOO YOO KNIGHT+7L7. TIMESTORM+8L8. FOREMOST TEDDY+8L9. ALMIGHTY KICK+9.75L10. HAPPY TANGO+11.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick FAIRY HORSE (16.1%) finished 3rd — the winner TSUEN WAN GLORY was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 FAIRY HORSE 16.1% 6.21 3
2 9 ALMIGHTY KICK 10.0% 10.01 9
3 12 TSUEN WAN GLORY 9.7% 10.34 1
4 4 FOREMOST TEDDY 9.4% 10.67 8
5 1 KA YING POWER 8.4% 11.91 5
6 11 TIMESTORM 7.6% 13.16 7
7 8 HAPPY TANGO 6.2% 16.09 10
8 10 JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP 6.1% 16.40 4
9 13 YOO YOO KNIGHT 5.9% 16.87 6
10 2 CASHISCASH 5.7% 17.63 2
11 14 CALIFORNIA ICON 5.2% 19.32 12
12 7 PERFECTO MOMENTS 4.5% 22.33 11
13 5 MACANESE MASTER 2.9% 34.82 14
14 3 COMMANDING MISSILE 2.4% 41.05 13
FAIRY HORSEALMIGHTY KICKTSUEN WAN GLORY — wonFOREMOST TEDDYKA YING POWERTIMESTORMHAPPY TANGOJOYFUL FRIENDSHIPYOO YOO KNIGHTCASHISCASHCALIFORNIA ICONPERFECTO MOMENTSMACANESE MASTERCOMMANDING MISSILE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 71

PLACE

2 31.5

6 14.5

12 29

QUINELLA

2,12 427

QUINELLA PLACE

2,6 76.5

2,12 140.5

6,12 67

FORECAST

12,2 739

TIERCE

12,2,6 2,954

TRIO

2,6,12 550

FIRST 4

2,6,10,12 1,469

QUARTET

12,2,6,10 34,437