沙田 · 2025-06-22 · 12:50
第 10場
2025-06-22沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1600米。由L Hewitson策騎、D J Whyte訓練的MORGAN SUCCESS勝出，贏出3/4。ATULLIBIGEAL獲得亞軍；MAGNIFICENT NINE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | MORGAN SUCCESS 後段發力 XB 1.34.34 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 2.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | ATULLIBIGEAL 後段發力 H-/B/XB H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 9 | 40.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | MAGNIFICENT NINE 後段發力 B/E B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 4 | 8.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | POPE CODY 後段發力 TT J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 14 | 9.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | WITHALLMYFAITH 後段發力 XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 10 | 173.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | CALIFORNIA BAY TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 13 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | JUMBO LEGEND 後段發力 TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 11 | 33.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 14 | FRANTANCK 早段領放 TT A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 2 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | FLASH CURRENT TT Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 6 | 4.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | PRESTIGE RICKY 後段發力 H/XB C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 5 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | CALL ME TOPSEED B1/TT1 P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 7 | 69.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | ILLUMINOUS B-/V2 K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 72.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | GREY CHARGER TT1 L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 12 | 50.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 3 | YELLOWFIN XB A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 1 | 13.0 | 8 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FLASH CURRENT | 41.1% | 2.43 | 9 |
| 2 | 10 | MORGAN SUCCESS | 15.8% | 6.33 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | MAGNIFICENT NINE | 10.4% | 9.61 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | YELLOWFIN | 7.6% | 13.20 | 14 |
| 5 | 2 | JUMBO LEGEND | 4.0% | 24.72 | 7 |
| 6 | 1 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 3.5% | 28.71 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | POPE CODY | 3.1% | 32.49 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | PRESTIGE RICKY | 3.0% | 33.65 | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | CALL ME TOPSEED | 2.8% | 35.69 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | GREY CHARGER | 2.6% | 37.74 | 13 |
| 11 | 13 | CALIFORNIA BAY | 2.2% | 46.49 | 6 |
| 12 | 14 | FRANTANCK | 1.8% | 56.90 | 8 |
| 13 | 12 | ILLUMINOUS | 1.4% | 70.28 | 12 |
| 14 | 7 | WITHALLMYFAITH | 0.8% | 133.07 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 25
PLACE
1 78
9 23.5
10 12.5
QUINELLA
1,10 642.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 379.5
1,10 216.5
9,10 36
FORECAST
10,1 697
TIERCE
10,1,9 5,113
TRIO
1,9,10 1,078
FIRST 4
1,5,9,10 1,960
QUARTET
10,1,9,5 34,263
全部彩池（另 1 項）
9TH DOUBLE
13/1 373.5
13/10 181.5