沙田 · 2025-06-22 · 08:35
第 2場
2025-06-22沙田第2場,Class 5,途程2000米。由L Hewitson策騎、W Y So訓練的GOLDEN FAIRY勝出,贏出1-3/4。STORM RUNNER獲得亞軍;SUPER HONG KONG獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。頭馬以5.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | GOLDEN FAIRY 一路領先 2.02.53 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 3 | 5.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | STORM RUNNER 後段發力 TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 6 | 8.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | SUPER HONG KONG 後段發力 V/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 14 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | CHATEAU LE PECHE 後段發力 B C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 7 | 6.9 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | HAKKA RADIANCE TT A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 9 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | LEATHER MASTER CP A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 10 | 6.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | SUPREME WINNER CP-/SR1 P N Wong · C H Yip | P N Wong | C H Yip | 1 | 9.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | COLOURFUL BARON 後段發力 B/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 4 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | STRONGEST BOY B/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 5 | 27.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | ON THE LASH PC-/XB-/B2/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 11 | 39.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | TRADITION CP-/B2 J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 12 | 29.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 14 | ORIENTAL TYCOON K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 2 | 68.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 2 | ESCAPE ROUTE H- H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 13 | 8.1 | 9 |
| 14 | 6 | SMART ZIPANG B/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 8 | 70.0 | 14-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HAKKA RADIANCE | 15.1% | 6.62 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | STORM RUNNER | 14.0% | 7.17 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | LEATHER MASTER | 11.3% | 8.87 | 6 |
| 4 | 2 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 9.0% | 11.14 | 13 |
| 5 | 10 | SUPER HONG KONG | 8.5% | 11.70 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | CHATEAU LE PECHE | 7.6% | 13.23 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | SUPREME WINNER | 6.6% | 15.23 | 7 |
| 8 | 13 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 5.8% | 17.34 | 1 |
| 9 | 9 | STRONGEST BOY | 5.8% | 17.39 | 9 |
| 10 | 12 | ON THE LASH | 4.7% | 21.30 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | TRADITION | 4.2% | 23.56 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | COLOURFUL BARON | 3.5% | 28.71 | 8 |
| 13 | 14 | ORIENTAL TYCOON | 2.5% | 40.33 | 12 |
| 14 | 6 | SMART ZIPANG | 1.6% | 62.52 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 50.5
PLACE
3 28.5
10 32
13 18
QUINELLA
3,13 175.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 195.5
3,13 64.5
10,13 120
FORECAST
13,3 280
TIERCE
13,3,10 2,960
TRIO
3,10,13 578
FIRST 4
3,5,10,13 651
QUARTET
13,3,10,5 12,171
全部彩池(另 1 項)
1ST DOUBLE
8/3 20.5
8/13 95