沙田 · 2025-06-22 · 09:05
第 3場
2025-06-22沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米。由Z Purton策騎、K H Ting訓練的LO PAN SPIRIT勝出，贏出1-1/4。IGOR STRAVINSKY獲得亞軍；CIRCUIT VICTORY獲得季軍。頭馬以1.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LO PAN SPIRIT B/TT 1.09.29 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 1 | 1.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | IGOR STRAVINSKY B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 74.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 14 | CIRCUIT VICTORY B/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 6 | 7.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | AWESOME TREASURE CP/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 12 | 29.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | ALL'S WELL H/TT B Thompson · C H Yip | B Thompson | C H Yip | 5 | 24.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | SUPER UNIVERSAL TT K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 7 | 78.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | ARGENTO OCEAN H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 13 | 23.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY B/TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 9 | 8.1 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | LUCKY MCQUEEN H/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 2 | 8.5 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | LIGHTNING ARROW C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 4 | 47.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | RADIANT SWIFT B M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 10 | 266.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | YOUNG LEGACY P1 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 8 | 119.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 3 | CHAMPION INSTINCT B/TT1 A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 14 | 78.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 7 | GOLDEN BRILLIANT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 11 | 206.0 | 10 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LO PAN SPIRIT | 30.8% | 3.25 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | LUCKY MCQUEEN | 12.2% | 8.22 | 9 |
| 3 | 5 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY | 11.2% | 8.94 | 8 |
| 4 | 6 | ARGENTO OCEAN | 9.2% | 10.81 | 7 |
| 5 | 11 | YOUNG LEGACY | 6.8% | 14.62 | 12 |
| 6 | 14 | CIRCUIT VICTORY | 6.2% | 16.18 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | CHAMPION INSTINCT | 4.2% | 24.02 | 13 |
| 8 | 12 | ALL'S WELL | 4.1% | 24.37 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | GOLDEN BRILLIANT | 4.1% | 24.40 | 14 |
| 10 | 8 | LIGHTNING ARROW | 3.8% | 25.99 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | AWESOME TREASURE | 3.0% | 33.02 | 4 |
| 12 | 1 | IGOR STRAVINSKY | 1.9% | 51.47 | 2 |
| 13 | 10 | SUPER UNIVERSAL | 1.4% | 70.42 | 6 |
| 14 | 13 | RADIANT SWIFT | 1.0% | 98.97 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 15.5
PLACE
1 110.5
2 12
14 16.5
QUINELLA
1,2 463
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 159.5
1,14 429
2,14 22
FORECAST
2,1 531
TIERCE
2,1,14 3,383
TRIO
1,2,14 706
FIRST 4
1,2,4,14 2,235
QUARTET
2,1,14,4 29,832
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,10,13/1,2,14 58,369
2ND DOUBLE
13/1 542.5
13/2 101.5