沙田 · 2025-06-22 · 11:40
第 8場
2025-06-22沙田第8場，Group 3，途程1800米。由B Avdulla策騎、A S Cruz訓練的BEAUTY JOY勝出，贏出1-1/4。CAP FERRAT獲得亞軍；BUNDLE AWARD獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.0倍大熱門CALIFORNIATOTALITY跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BEAUTY JOY 後段發力 TT 1.46.91 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 5 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | CAP FERRAT 後段發力 H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 9 | 8.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | BUNDLE AWARD 後段發力 E A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 13 | 4.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | PRAY FOR MIR 早段領放 CP M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 8 | 8.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | NIMBLE NIMBUS V/TT A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 6 | 36.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | CHANCHENG GLORY B/XB L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 12 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 11 | 4.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | ENSUED 後段發力 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 4 | 5.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | STRAIGHT ARRON 後段發力 XB M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 38.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 14 | KA YING GENERATION PC/TT M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 1 | 55.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | WINNING DRAGON TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 14 | 43.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | ENCOUNTERED TT K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 10 | 65.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | MOMENTS IN TIME TT J Orman · C S Shum | J Orman | C S Shum | 3 | 59.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 5 | SWORD POINT CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 54.0 | 12-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | PRAY FOR MIR | 18.0% | 5.56 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | ENSUED | 14.9% | 6.71 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | CAP FERRAT | 13.6% | 7.35 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | BUNDLE AWARD | 11.9% | 8.39 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | CHANCHENG GLORY | 8.0% | 12.45 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY | 7.9% | 12.66 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | SWORD POINT | 4.6% | 21.64 | 14 |
| 8 | 3 | BEAUTY JOY | 4.3% | 23.03 | 1 |
| 9 | 1 | STRAIGHT ARRON | 3.9% | 25.70 | 9 |
| 10 | 14 | KA YING GENERATION | 2.8% | 35.26 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | ENCOUNTERED | 2.7% | 36.49 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 2.7% | 36.61 | 13 |
| 13 | 9 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 2.5% | 40.57 | 5 |
| 14 | 13 | WINNING DRAGON | 2.0% | 49.20 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 128.5
PLACE
3 34
7 28
10 17.5
QUINELLA
3,7 764
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 203
3,10 90.5
7,10 74
FORECAST
3,7 1,695
TIERCE
3,7,10 9,398
TRIO
3,7,10 873
FIRST 4
3,7,8,10 1,507
QUARTET
3,7,10,8 65,161
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
5/3 1,186
5/7 75