Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2025-06-22 · 19:38

Race 8

Group 3 1800m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.46.91
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly TT 1.46.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · A S Cruz 5 12.0 1-1/4
2 7 CAP FERRAT Closed strongly H Bowman · K W Lui 9 8.5 1-1/4
3 10 BUNDLE AWARD Closed strongly E A Atzeni · J Size 13 4.3 1-1/4
4 8 PRAY FOR MIR Led early CP M Chadwick · W K Mo 8 8.8 1-1/2
5 9 NIMBLE NIMBUS V/TT A Hamelin · P F Yiu 6 36.0 2-3/4
6 2 CHANCHENG GLORY B/XB L Ferraris · K W Lui 12 13.0 3-1/4
7 11 CALIFORNIATOTALITY B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz 11 4.0 3-3/4
8 4 ENSUED Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size 4 5.0 4-1/4
9 1 STRAIGHT ARRON Closed strongly XB M F Poon · P F Yiu 2 38.0 4-1/2
10 14 KA YING GENERATION PC/TT M L Yeung · P C Ng 1 55.0 5-1/4
11 13 WINNING DRAGON TT H Bentley · A S Cruz 14 43.0 7-1/4
12 12 ENCOUNTERED TT K Teetan · D J Hall 10 65.0 7-1/2
13 6 MOMENTS IN TIME TT J Orman · C S Shum 3 59.0 7-1/2
14 5 SWORD POINT CP K C Leung · F C Lor 7 54.0 12-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-22 was Group 3 over 1800m. BEAUTY JOY, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/4, with CAP FERRAT second and BUNDLE AWARD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite CALIFORNIATOTALITY finished 7th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BEAUTY JOY—2. CAP FERRAT+1.25L3. BUNDLE AWARD+1.25L4. PRAY FOR MIR+1.5L5. NIMBLE NIMBUS+2.75L6. CHANCHENG GLORY+3.25L7. CALIFORNIATOTALITY+3.75L8. ENSUED+4.25L9. STRAIGHT ARRON+4.5L10. KA YING GENERATION+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick PRAY FOR MIR (18.0%) finished 4th — the winner BEAUTY JOY was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 PRAY FOR MIR 18.0% 5.56 4
2 4 ENSUED 14.9% 6.71 8
3 7 CAP FERRAT 13.6% 7.35 2
4 10 BUNDLE AWARD 11.9% 8.39 3
5 2 CHANCHENG GLORY 8.0% 12.45 6
6 11 CALIFORNIATOTALITY 7.9% 12.66 7
7 5 SWORD POINT 4.6% 21.64 14
8 3 BEAUTY JOY 4.3% 23.03 1
9 1 STRAIGHT ARRON 3.9% 25.70 9
10 14 KA YING GENERATION 2.8% 35.26 10
11 12 ENCOUNTERED 2.7% 36.49 12
12 6 MOMENTS IN TIME 2.7% 36.61 13
13 9 NIMBLE NIMBUS 2.5% 40.57 5
14 13 WINNING DRAGON 2.0% 49.20 11
PRAY FOR MIRENSUEDCAP FERRATBUNDLE AWARDCHANCHENG GLORYCALIFORNIATOTALITYSWORD POINTBEAUTY JOY — wonSTRAIGHT ARRONKA YING GENERATIONENCOUNTEREDMOMENTS IN TIMENIMBLE NIMBUSWINNING DRAGON

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 128.5

PLACE

3 34

7 28

10 17.5

QUINELLA

3,7 764

QUINELLA PLACE

3,7 203

3,10 90.5

7,10 74

FORECAST

3,7 1,695

TIERCE

3,7,10 9,398

TRIO

3,7,10 873

FIRST 4

3,7,8,10 1,507

QUARTET

3,7,10,8 65,161

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

5/3 1,186

5/7 75