Sha Tin · 2025-06-22 · 11:40
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-22 was Group 3 over 1800m. BEAUTY JOY, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/4, with CAP FERRAT second and BUNDLE AWARD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite CALIFORNIATOTALITY finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly TT 1.46.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 5 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | CAP FERRAT Closed strongly H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 9 | 8.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | BUNDLE AWARD Closed strongly E A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 13 | 4.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | PRAY FOR MIR Led early CP M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 8 | 8.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | NIMBLE NIMBUS V/TT A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 6 | 36.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | CHANCHENG GLORY B/XB L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 12 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 11 | 4.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | ENSUED Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 4 | 5.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | STRAIGHT ARRON Closed strongly XB M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 38.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 14 | KA YING GENERATION PC/TT M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 1 | 55.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | WINNING DRAGON TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 14 | 43.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | ENCOUNTERED TT K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 10 | 65.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | MOMENTS IN TIME TT J Orman · C S Shum | J Orman | C S Shum | 3 | 59.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 5 | SWORD POINT CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 54.0 | 12-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | PRAY FOR MIR | 18.0% | 5.56 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | ENSUED | 14.9% | 6.71 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | CAP FERRAT | 13.6% | 7.35 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | BUNDLE AWARD | 11.9% | 8.39 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | CHANCHENG GLORY | 8.0% | 12.45 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY | 7.9% | 12.66 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | SWORD POINT | 4.6% | 21.64 | 14 |
| 8 | 3 | BEAUTY JOY | 4.3% | 23.03 | 1 |
| 9 | 1 | STRAIGHT ARRON | 3.9% | 25.70 | 9 |
| 10 | 14 | KA YING GENERATION | 2.8% | 35.26 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | ENCOUNTERED | 2.7% | 36.49 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 2.7% | 36.61 | 13 |
| 13 | 9 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 2.5% | 40.57 | 5 |
| 14 | 13 | WINNING DRAGON | 2.0% | 49.20 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 128.5
PLACE
3 34
7 28
10 17.5
QUINELLA
3,7 764
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 203
3,10 90.5
7,10 74
FORECAST
3,7 1,695
TIERCE
3,7,10 9,398
TRIO
3,7,10 873
FIRST 4
3,7,8,10 1,507
QUARTET
3,7,10,8 65,161
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
5/3 1,186
5/7 75