Sha Tin · 2025-06-22 · 17:31
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MISTER DAPPER Closed strongly B/XB/TT 1.34.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · D Eustace | B Avdulla | D Eustace | 8 | 3.3 | NOSE |
| 2 | 4 | FORTUNE BOY Closed strongly CP/BK1 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 1 | 3.4 | NOSE |
| 3 | 14 | PEARL OF PANG'S Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 7 | 8.8 | N |
| 4 | 5 | CALIFORNIA BANNER Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 6 | 102.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | BEAUTY LIVE Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 13 | 40.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 4 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 13 | FIGHT TIME V P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 3 | 5.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | ARDEN Closed strongly B/E/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 2 | 103.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | GALE SAGA Closed strongly B-/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 14 | 38.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE Closed strongly B/SR C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 5 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | DRAGON SUNRISE Closed strongly CP K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 12 | 60.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | JOLLY JUMPER Led early V/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 11 | 14.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 6 | RED MAJESTY B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 10 | 73.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 9 | REGENCY WIN WIN CP/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 9 | 71.0 | 15 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-22 was Class 4 over 1600m. MISTER DAPPER, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by D Eustace, won by NOSE, with FORTUNE BOY second and PEARL OF PANG'S third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.3 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FORTUNE BOY | 32.4% | 3.09 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | MISTER DAPPER | 12.8% | 7.81 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR | 9.6% | 10.41 | 6 |
| 4 | 2 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE | 8.7% | 11.50 | 10 |
| 5 | 13 | FIGHT TIME | 7.5% | 13.26 | 7 |
| 6 | 14 | PEARL OF PANG'S | 7.2% | 13.96 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | JOLLY JUMPER | 4.4% | 22.78 | 12 |
| 8 | 6 | RED MAJESTY | 3.3% | 29.86 | 13 |
| 9 | 7 | BEAUTY LIVE | 3.2% | 31.28 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | CALIFORNIA BANNER | 2.9% | 34.87 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | GALE SAGA | 2.6% | 38.94 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | DRAGON SUNRISE | 2.6% | 39.16 | 11 |
| 13 | 12 | ARDEN | 2.3% | 44.15 | 8 |
| 14 | 9 | REGENCY WIN WIN | 0.6% | 160.89 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 33
PLACE
1 14.5
4 16
14 24
QUINELLA
1,4 78.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 34.5
1,14 50
4,14 58
FORECAST
1,4 168
TIERCE
1,4,14 906
TRIO
1,4,14 178
FIRST 4
1,4,5,14 3,390
QUARTET
1,4,14,5 41,277
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
2/1 84
2/4 10.5