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Sha Tin · 2025-06-22 · 13:25

Race 11

Class 3 1400m Course A 14 runners

Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-22 was Class 3 over 1400m. FLYING FORTRESS, ridden by H Bentley and trained by W K Mo, won by N, with SUPER EXPRESS second and DAZZLING FIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.6 favourite SUPER EXPRESS finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.21.10
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 FLYING FORTRESS Closed strongly XB1/TT 1.21.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · W K Mo 3 33.0 N
2 9 SUPER EXPRESS Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · J Size 4 1.6 N
3 6 DAZZLING FIT Closed strongly XB L Ferraris · D Eustace 8 7.0 3/4
4 2 HUGE WAVE Closed strongly TT H Bowman · K H Ting 1 11.0 1-1/2
5 7 SOUTH STAR TT A Atzeni · F C Lor 5 10.0 2
6 12 SHAMUS STORM Closed strongly Z Purton · D A Hayes 2 7.1 2-3/4
7 13 SOLID CAR Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall 7 82.0 5-1/4
8 14 TARGET AUDIENCE A Badel · C Fownes 6 72.0 5-1/2
9 1 GHORGAN XB-/TT K C Leung · K L Man 12 234.0 5-3/4
10 11 LUCKY TWIN STARS Closed strongly CP/XB K Teetan · K W Lui 13 54.0 7
11 3 PANACEA Closed strongly J Orman · P F Yiu 10 185.0 7
12 4 LIM'S SHAVANO Led early L Hewitson · M Newnham 9 74.0 9-1/2
13 10 FIGHTING MACHINE Closed strongly B/SR M L Yeung · P C Ng 14 154.0 11-1/4
14 8 STAR SATYR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 11 52.0 13

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FLYING FORTRESS—2. SUPER EXPRESS+0.05L3. DAZZLING FIT+0.75L4. HUGE WAVE+1.5L5. SOUTH STAR+2L6. SHAMUS STORM+2.75L7. SOLID CAR+5.25L8. TARGET AUDIENCE+5.5L9. GHORGAN+5.75L10. LUCKY TWIN STARS+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick SHAMUS STORM (23.3%) finished 6th — the winner FLYING FORTRESS was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 SHAMUS STORM 23.3% 4.29 6
2 6 DAZZLING FIT 20.4% 4.90 3
3 9 SUPER EXPRESS 20.2% 4.95 2
4 2 HUGE WAVE 8.5% 11.83 4
5 7 SOUTH STAR 7.4% 13.53 5
6 5 FLYING FORTRESS 5.2% 19.21 1
7 13 SOLID CAR 3.3% 30.29 7
8 10 FIGHTING MACHINE 2.4% 40.98 13
9 4 LIM'S SHAVANO 1.9% 52.94 12
10 14 TARGET AUDIENCE 1.9% 53.77 8
11 3 PANACEA 1.7% 57.66 11
12 8 STAR SATYR 1.7% 60.30 14
13 11 LUCKY TWIN STARS 1.5% 65.50 10
14 1 GHORGAN 0.6% 162.11 9
SHAMUS STORMDAZZLING FITSUPER EXPRESSHUGE WAVESOUTH STARFLYING FORTRESS — wonSOLID CARFIGHTING MACHINELIM'S SHAVANOTARGET AUDIENCEPANACEASTAR SATYRLUCKY TWIN STARSGHORGAN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 337.5

PLACE

5 48

6 19

9 10.5

QUINELLA

5,9 224.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,6 190.5

5,9 81

6,9 21.5

FORECAST

5,9 759

TIERCE

5,9,6 3,607

TRIO

5,6,9 280

FIRST 4

2,5,6,9 311

QUARTET

5,9,6,2 15,259

All pools (4 more)

10TH DOUBLE

10/5 1,148.5

10/9 10.5

2ND TREBLE

13/10/5 6,917

13/10/9 52

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,9,10/5,6,9 38,603

SIX UP

4,7/5,12/3,7/1,13/1,10/5,9 20,165

7/5/3/13/10/5 10,176,730

1 [Z Purton] —

1 [J Size] —

← Race 10 This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 1400m Need this as data? Full results archive from $99