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Sha Tin · 2025-06-22 · 21:23

Race 11

Class 3 1400m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.10
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 FLYING FORTRESS Closed strongly XB1/TT 1.21.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · W K Mo 3 33.0 N
2 9 SUPER EXPRESS Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · J Size 4 1.6 N
3 6 DAZZLING FIT Closed strongly XB L Ferraris · D Eustace 8 7.0 3/4
4 2 HUGE WAVE Closed strongly TT H Bowman · K H Ting 1 11.0 1-1/2
5 7 SOUTH STAR TT A Atzeni · F C Lor 5 10.0 2
6 12 SHAMUS STORM Closed strongly Z Purton · D A Hayes 2 7.1 2-3/4
7 13 SOLID CAR Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall 7 82.0 5-1/4
8 14 TARGET AUDIENCE A Badel · C Fownes 6 72.0 5-1/2
9 1 GHORGAN XB-/TT K C Leung · K L Man 12 234.0 5-3/4
10 11 LUCKY TWIN STARS Closed strongly CP/XB K Teetan · K W Lui 13 54.0 7
11 3 PANACEA Closed strongly J Orman · P F Yiu 10 185.0 7
12 4 LIM'S SHAVANO Led early L Hewitson · M Newnham 9 74.0 9-1/2
13 10 FIGHTING MACHINE Closed strongly B/SR M L Yeung · P C Ng 14 154.0 11-1/4
14 8 STAR SATYR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 11 52.0 13

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-22 was Class 3 over 1400m. FLYING FORTRESS, ridden by H Bentley and trained by W K Mo, won by N, with SUPER EXPRESS second and DAZZLING FIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.6 favourite SUPER EXPRESS finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FLYING FORTRESS—2. SUPER EXPRESS+0.05L3. DAZZLING FIT+0.75L4. HUGE WAVE+1.5L5. SOUTH STAR+2L6. SHAMUS STORM+2.75L7. SOLID CAR+5.25L8. TARGET AUDIENCE+5.5L9. GHORGAN+5.75L10. LUCKY TWIN STARS+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick SHAMUS STORM (23.3%) finished 6th — the winner FLYING FORTRESS was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 SHAMUS STORM 23.3% 4.29 6
2 6 DAZZLING FIT 20.4% 4.90 3
3 9 SUPER EXPRESS 20.2% 4.95 2
4 2 HUGE WAVE 8.5% 11.83 4
5 7 SOUTH STAR 7.4% 13.53 5
6 5 FLYING FORTRESS 5.2% 19.21 1
7 13 SOLID CAR 3.3% 30.29 7
8 10 FIGHTING MACHINE 2.4% 40.98 13
9 4 LIM'S SHAVANO 1.9% 52.94 12
10 14 TARGET AUDIENCE 1.9% 53.77 8
11 3 PANACEA 1.7% 57.66 11
12 8 STAR SATYR 1.7% 60.30 14
13 11 LUCKY TWIN STARS 1.5% 65.50 10
14 1 GHORGAN 0.6% 162.11 9
SHAMUS STORMDAZZLING FITSUPER EXPRESSHUGE WAVESOUTH STARFLYING FORTRESS — wonSOLID CARFIGHTING MACHINELIM'S SHAVANOTARGET AUDIENCEPANACEASTAR SATYRLUCKY TWIN STARSGHORGAN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 337.5

PLACE

5 48

6 19

9 10.5

QUINELLA

5,9 224.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,6 190.5

5,9 81

6,9 21.5

FORECAST

5,9 759

TIERCE

5,9,6 3,607

TRIO

5,6,9 280

FIRST 4

2,5,6,9 311

QUARTET

5,9,6,2 15,259

All pools (4 more)

10TH DOUBLE

10/5 1,148.5

10/9 10.5

2ND TREBLE

13/10/5 6,917

13/10/9 52

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,9,10/5,6,9 38,603

SIX UP

4,7/5,12/3,7/1,13/1,10/5,9 20,165

7/5/3/13/10/5 10,176,730

1 [J Size] —

1 [Z Purton] —

← Race 10 This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 1400m Need this as data? Full results archive — US$299 All results since 1977 as data