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Sha Tin · 2025-06-22 · 09:05

Race 3

Class 4 1200m Course A 14 runners

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-22 was Class 4 over 1200m. LO PAN SPIRIT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K H Ting, won by 1-1/4, with IGOR STRAVINSKY second and CIRCUIT VICTORY third. Victory came as the 1.5 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.09.29
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 LO PAN SPIRIT B/TT 1.09.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K H Ting 1 1.5 1-1/4
2 1 IGOR STRAVINSKY B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 3 74.0 1-1/4
3 14 CIRCUIT VICTORY B/TT P N Wong · K L Man 6 7.8 2-1/4
4 4 AWESOME TREASURE CP/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes 12 29.0 4-1/4
5 12 ALL'S WELL H/TT B Thompson · C H Yip 5 24.0 4-3/4
6 10 SUPER UNIVERSAL TT K C Leung · K W Lui 7 78.0 4-3/4
7 6 ARGENTO OCEAN H Bowman · D J Whyte 13 23.0 5-1/4
8 5 GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY B/TT M L Yeung · J Richards 9 8.1 5-3/4
9 9 LUCKY MCQUEEN H/TT M F Poon · W K Mo 2 8.5 6
10 8 LIGHTNING ARROW C L Chau · P C Ng 4 47.0 7-1/4
11 13 RADIANT SWIFT B M Chadwick · T P Yung 10 266.0 8-1/2
12 11 YOUNG LEGACY P1 K Teetan · J Size 8 119.0 8-3/4
13 3 CHAMPION INSTINCT B/TT1 A Atzeni · D J Hall 14 78.0 8-3/4
14 7 GOLDEN BRILLIANT H Bentley · C Fownes 11 206.0 10

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LO PAN SPIRIT2. IGOR STRAVINSKY+1.25L3. CIRCUIT VICTORY+2.25L4. AWESOME TREASURE+4.25L5. ALL'S WELL+4.75L6. SUPER UNIVERSAL+4.75L7. ARGENTO OCEAN+5.25L8. GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY+5.75L9. LUCKY MCQUEEN+6L10. LIGHTNING ARROW+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick LO PAN SPIRIT (30.8%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 LO PAN SPIRIT 30.8% 3.25 1
2 9 LUCKY MCQUEEN 12.2% 8.22 9
3 5 GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY 11.2% 8.94 8
4 6 ARGENTO OCEAN 9.2% 10.81 7
5 11 YOUNG LEGACY 6.8% 14.62 12
6 14 CIRCUIT VICTORY 6.2% 16.18 3
7 3 CHAMPION INSTINCT 4.2% 24.02 13
8 12 ALL'S WELL 4.1% 24.37 5
9 7 GOLDEN BRILLIANT 4.1% 24.40 14
10 8 LIGHTNING ARROW 3.8% 25.99 10
11 4 AWESOME TREASURE 3.0% 33.02 4
12 1 IGOR STRAVINSKY 1.9% 51.47 2
13 10 SUPER UNIVERSAL 1.4% 70.42 6
14 13 RADIANT SWIFT 1.0% 98.97 11
LO PAN SPIRIT — wonLUCKY MCQUEENGOLDENTRONICMIGHTYARGENTO OCEANYOUNG LEGACYCIRCUIT VICTORYCHAMPION INSTINCTALL'S WELLGOLDEN BRILLIANTLIGHTNING ARROWAWESOME TREASUREIGOR STRAVINSKYSUPER UNIVERSALRADIANT SWIFT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 15.5

PLACE

1 110.5

2 12

14 16.5

QUINELLA

1,2 463

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 159.5

1,14 429

2,14 22

FORECAST

2,1 531

TIERCE

2,1,14 3,383

TRIO

1,2,14 706

FIRST 4

1,2,4,14 2,235

QUARTET

2,1,14,4 29,832

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

3,10,13/1,2,14 58,369

2ND DOUBLE

13/1 542.5

13/2 101.5