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Sha Tin · 2025-06-22 · 18:33

Race 6

Group 3 1400m Course A 9 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.15
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 COPARTNER PRANCE Closed strongly XB 1.21.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K De Melo · K W Lui 5 26.0 HD
2 4 HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly TT A Badel · F C Lor 1 7.2 HD
3 6 PACKING HERMOD Closed strongly B M F Poon · K W Lui 7 2.9 1
4 5 PATCH OF THETA Closed strongly XB A Atzeni · K W Lui 2 3.1 1-1/4
5 2 VICTOR THE WINNER Led early B/TT K C Leung · D Eustace 3 20.0 1-1/4
6 8 MUGEN Closed strongly K Teetan · P C Ng 6 21.0 1-1/2
7 9 TAJ DRAGON Closed strongly H Bentley · P C Ng 8 37.0 3-1/4
8 1 BEAUTY ETERNAL Z Purton · J Size 4 6.0 3-1/2
9 3 INVINCIBLE SAGE CP H Bowman · D J Hall 9 11.0 4-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-22 was Group 3 over 1400m. COPARTNER PRANCE, ridden by K De Melo and trained by K W Lui, won by HD, with HAPPY TOGETHER second and PACKING HERMOD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite PACKING HERMOD finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. COPARTNER PRANCE—2. HAPPY TOGETHER+0.2L3. PACKING HERMOD+1L4. PATCH OF THETA+1.25L5. VICTOR THE WINNER+1.25L6. MUGEN+1.5L7. TAJ DRAGON+3.25L8. BEAUTY ETERNAL+3.5L9. INVINCIBLE SAGE+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick PACKING HERMOD (41.0%) finished 3rd — the winner COPARTNER PRANCE was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 PACKING HERMOD 41.0% 2.44 3
2 5 PATCH OF THETA 17.8% 5.61 4
3 1 BEAUTY ETERNAL 12.2% 8.22 8
4 3 INVINCIBLE SAGE 9.7% 10.36 9
5 4 HAPPY TOGETHER 7.9% 12.60 2
6 8 MUGEN 3.5% 28.22 6
7 2 VICTOR THE WINNER 3.0% 33.68 5
8 9 TAJ DRAGON 2.7% 37.50 7
9 7 COPARTNER PRANCE 2.2% 45.22 1
PACKING HERMODPATCH OF THETABEAUTY ETERNALINVINCIBLE SAGEHAPPY TOGETHERMUGENVICTOR THE WINNERTAJ DRAGONCOPARTNER PRANCE — won

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 262.5

PLACE

4 23

6 13

7 52

QUINELLA

4,7 934.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,6 45

4,7 234.5

6,7 100

FORECAST

7,4 1,865

TIERCE

7,4,6 8,859

TRIO

4,6,7 840

FIRST 4

4,5,6,7 392

QUARTET

7,4,6,5 27,497

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

12/4 540.5

12/7 6,618