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Sha Tin · 2025-06-22 · 10:35

Race 6

Group 3 1400m Course A 9 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-22 was Group 3 over 1400m. COPARTNER PRANCE, ridden by K De Melo and trained by K W Lui, won by HD, with HAPPY TOGETHER second and PACKING HERMOD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite PACKING HERMOD finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.21.15
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 COPARTNER PRANCE Closed strongly XB 1.21.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K De Melo · K W Lui 5 26.0 HD
2 4 HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly TT A Badel · F C Lor 1 7.2 HD
3 6 PACKING HERMOD Closed strongly B M F Poon · K W Lui 7 2.9 1
4 5 PATCH OF THETA Closed strongly XB A Atzeni · K W Lui 2 3.1 1-1/4
5 2 VICTOR THE WINNER Led early B/TT K C Leung · D Eustace 3 20.0 1-1/4
6 8 MUGEN Closed strongly K Teetan · P C Ng 6 21.0 1-1/2
7 9 TAJ DRAGON Closed strongly H Bentley · P C Ng 8 37.0 3-1/4
8 1 BEAUTY ETERNAL Z Purton · J Size 4 6.0 3-1/2
9 3 INVINCIBLE SAGE CP H Bowman · D J Hall 9 11.0 4-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. COPARTNER PRANCE2. HAPPY TOGETHER+0.2L3. PACKING HERMOD+1L4. PATCH OF THETA+1.25L5. VICTOR THE WINNER+1.25L6. MUGEN+1.5L7. TAJ DRAGON+3.25L8. BEAUTY ETERNAL+3.5L9. INVINCIBLE SAGE+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick PACKING HERMOD (41.0%) finished 3rd — the winner COPARTNER PRANCE was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 PACKING HERMOD 41.0% 2.44 3
2 5 PATCH OF THETA 17.8% 5.61 4
3 1 BEAUTY ETERNAL 12.2% 8.22 8
4 3 INVINCIBLE SAGE 9.7% 10.36 9
5 4 HAPPY TOGETHER 7.9% 12.60 2
6 8 MUGEN 3.5% 28.22 6
7 2 VICTOR THE WINNER 3.0% 33.68 5
8 9 TAJ DRAGON 2.7% 37.50 7
9 7 COPARTNER PRANCE 2.2% 45.22 1
PACKING HERMODPATCH OF THETABEAUTY ETERNALINVINCIBLE SAGEHAPPY TOGETHERMUGENVICTOR THE WINNERTAJ DRAGONCOPARTNER PRANCE — won

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 262.5

PLACE

4 23

6 13

7 52

QUINELLA

4,7 934.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,6 45

4,7 234.5

6,7 100

FORECAST

7,4 1,865

TIERCE

7,4,6 8,859

TRIO

4,6,7 840

FIRST 4

4,5,6,7 392

QUARTET

7,4,6,5 27,497

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

12/4 540.5

12/7 6,618