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Sha Tin · 2025-06-22 · 08:35

Race 2

Class 5 2000m Course A 14 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-22 was Class 5 over 2000m. GOLDEN FAIRY, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by W Y So, won by 1-3/4, with STORM RUNNER second and SUPER HONG KONG third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 5.0 favourite.

Result

Official · 2.02.53
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 13 GOLDEN FAIRY Wire to wire 2.02.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · W Y So 3 5.0 1-3/4
2 3 STORM RUNNER Closed strongly TT Z Purton · P C Ng 6 8.5 1-3/4
3 10 SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly V/TT K Teetan · C H Yip 14 11.0 2-1/4
4 5 CHATEAU LE PECHE Closed strongly B C L Chau · K H Ting 7 6.9 3
5 1 HAKKA RADIANCE TT A Atzeni · C S Shum 9 12.0 3
6 4 LEATHER MASTER CP A Badel · K L Man 10 6.4 3-1/4
7 7 SUPREME WINNER CP-/SR1 P N Wong · C H Yip 1 9.3 4-1/4
8 8 COLOURFUL BARON Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte 4 13.0 4-1/2
9 9 STRONGEST BOY B/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes 5 27.0 4-1/2
10 12 ON THE LASH PC-/XB-/B2/TT M F Poon · P C Ng 11 39.0 4-3/4
11 11 TRADITION CP-/B2 J Orman · Y S Tsui 12 29.0 6
12 14 ORIENTAL TYCOON K C Leung · C W Chang 2 68.0 6-1/2
13 2 ESCAPE ROUTE H- H Bowman · J Size 13 8.1 9
14 6 SMART ZIPANG B/TT K De Melo · W Y So 8 70.0 14-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLDEN FAIRY2. STORM RUNNER+1.75L3. SUPER HONG KONG+2.25L4. CHATEAU LE PECHE+3L5. HAKKA RADIANCE+3L6. LEATHER MASTER+3.25L7. SUPREME WINNER+4.25L8. COLOURFUL BARON+4.5L9. STRONGEST BOY+4.5L10. ON THE LASH+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick HAKKA RADIANCE (15.1%) finished 5th — the winner GOLDEN FAIRY was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 HAKKA RADIANCE 15.1% 6.62 5
2 3 STORM RUNNER 14.0% 7.17 2
3 4 LEATHER MASTER 11.3% 8.87 6
4 2 ESCAPE ROUTE 9.0% 11.14 13
5 10 SUPER HONG KONG 8.5% 11.70 3
6 5 CHATEAU LE PECHE 7.6% 13.23 4
7 7 SUPREME WINNER 6.6% 15.23 7
8 13 GOLDEN FAIRY 5.8% 17.34 1
9 9 STRONGEST BOY 5.8% 17.39 9
10 12 ON THE LASH 4.7% 21.30 10
11 11 TRADITION 4.2% 23.56 11
12 8 COLOURFUL BARON 3.5% 28.71 8
13 14 ORIENTAL TYCOON 2.5% 40.33 12
14 6 SMART ZIPANG 1.6% 62.52 14
HAKKA RADIANCESTORM RUNNERLEATHER MASTERESCAPE ROUTESUPER HONG KONGCHATEAU LE PECHESUPREME WINNERGOLDEN FAIRY — wonSTRONGEST BOYON THE LASHTRADITIONCOLOURFUL BARONORIENTAL TYCOONSMART ZIPANG

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 50.5

PLACE

3 28.5

10 32

13 18

QUINELLA

3,13 175.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,10 195.5

3,13 64.5

10,13 120

FORECAST

13,3 280

TIERCE

13,3,10 2,960

TRIO

3,10,13 578

FIRST 4

3,5,10,13 651

QUARTET

13,3,10,5 12,171

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

8/3 20.5

8/13 95