沙田 · 2025-07-01 · 08:05
第 1場
2025-07-01沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1800米。由Z Purton策騎、D J Hall訓練的GOLD TACK勝出，贏出1/2。MR ALADDIN獲得亞軍；WINNING SEVEN獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。5.4倍大熱門SUPER HONG KONG跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | GOLD TACK 一路領先 CP 1.48.08 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 9 | 6.8 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | MR ALADDIN 後段發力 H/PC/TT M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 13 | 9.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 13 | WINNING SEVEN 後段發力 B/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 12 | 34.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | CHATEAU LE PECHE 後段發力 B K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 10 | 9.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | SUPER HONG KONG V/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 3 | 5.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | LEATHER MASTER CP A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 14 | 5.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | GO GO GO P/TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 4 | 7.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | TRADITION 後段發力 B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 5 | 32.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | LAPRAS BO/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 1 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | U S S CONSTITUTION H/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 7 | 29.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | STRONGEST BOY B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 2 | 11.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 1 | CHILLI BABA 後段發力 B J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 11 | 25.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 5 | FLYING SILVER B/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 8 | 77.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 14 | JOYFUL CHAMPION B/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 6 | 29.0 | 16-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPER HONG KONG | 14.4% | 6.94 | 5 |
| 2 | 12 | LAPRAS | 12.1% | 8.23 | 9 |
| 3 | 3 | LEATHER MASTER | 11.3% | 8.86 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | CHATEAU LE PECHE | 11.1% | 9.05 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | GOLD TACK | 10.0% | 10.02 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | MR ALADDIN | 7.3% | 13.63 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | GO GO GO | 7.0% | 14.37 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | STRONGEST BOY | 6.3% | 15.85 | 11 |
| 9 | 1 | CHILLI BABA | 4.6% | 21.79 | 12 |
| 10 | 13 | WINNING SEVEN | 3.9% | 25.63 | 3 |
| 11 | 5 | FLYING SILVER | 3.2% | 31.12 | 13 |
| 12 | 6 | U S S CONSTITUTION | 3.1% | 32.64 | 10 |
| 13 | 9 | TRADITION | 3.0% | 33.03 | 8 |
| 14 | 14 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 2.7% | 36.87 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 68.5
PLACE
10 34
11 22
13 87.5
QUINELLA
10,11 409
QUINELLA PLACE
10,11 137.5
10,13 509.5
11,13 323.5
FORECAST
11,10 761
TIERCE
11,10,13 11,304
TRIO
10,11,13 3,225
FIRST 4
4,10,11,13 6,590
QUARTET
11,10,13,4 141,407