沙田 · 2025-07-01 · 09:35
第 4場
2025-07-01沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米。由J Orman策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的WONDERSTAR勝出，贏出1-1/2。CALIFORNIA BLITZ獲得亞軍；AUTUMN DELIGHT獲得季軍。2.0倍大熱門LUNAR DASH跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | WONDERSTAR B 1.09.17 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 8 | 5.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | CALIFORNIA BLITZ CP-/B1/TT A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 6 | 42.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | AUTUMN DELIGHT TT A Atzeni · C Fownes | A Atzeni | C Fownes | 1 | 5.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | MIRACLE FIGHTER V Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 10 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL B/XB2 M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 12 | 33.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | LUNAR DASH B1 Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 11 | 2.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | TURF PHOENIX B Thompson · W Y So | B Thompson | W Y So | 4 | 59.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | BROWNNEEDSFURTHER B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 5 | 10.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | DIRIYA E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 9 | 15.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 8 | SMART ENGINEER M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 3 | 146.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | HERO SPARK B1 K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 7 | 100.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | JUDY'S GREAT TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 2 | 50.0 | 18 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LUNAR DASH | 37.9% | 2.64 | 6 |
| 2 | 1 | WONDERSTAR | 13.9% | 7.17 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | DIRIYA | 13.9% | 7.20 | 9 |
| 4 | 11 | AUTUMN DELIGHT | 11.0% | 9.08 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | MIRACLE FIGHTER | 6.1% | 16.42 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 3.9% | 25.55 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | BROWNNEEDSFURTHER | 3.9% | 25.87 | 8 |
| 8 | 5 | HERO SPARK | 2.5% | 40.02 | 11 |
| 9 | 10 | TURF PHOENIX | 2.2% | 44.69 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | JUDY'S GREAT | 2.2% | 45.36 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | CALIFORNIA BLITZ | 1.6% | 62.25 | 2 |
| 12 | 8 | SMART ENGINEER | 0.8% | 120.42 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 54.5
PLACE
1 16.5
11 17
12 83
QUINELLA
1,12 898.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,11 45
1,12 205.5
11,12 240
FORECAST
1,12 1,368
TIERCE
1,12,11 7,904
TRIO
1,11,12 1,140
FIRST 4
1,7,11,12 2,225
QUARTET
1,12,11,7 51,624
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,10/1,11,12 504,642
3RD DOUBLE
2/1 318
2/12 377.5