沙田 · 2025-07-01 · 09:05
第 3場
2025-07-01沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1400米。由B Avdulla策騎、J Size訓練的SPIRIT OF PEACE勝出，贏出N。CHINA WIN獲得亞軍；SILVER UP獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.4倍大熱門FORTUNATE SON跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SPIRIT OF PEACE 後段發力 H- 1.21.91 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 2 | 8.6 | N |
| 2 | 6 | CHINA WIN 後段發力 M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 1 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 10 | SILVER UP 後段發力 B M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 11 | 44.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | BULL ATTITUDE B1 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 12 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | HANDSOME BOMB 早段領放 B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 6 | 8.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR 後段發力 B2/TT A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 14 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | LUCKY YEAR B Thompson · C H Yip | B Thompson | C H Yip | 3 | 87.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | FORTUNATE SON 後段發力 B-/TT2 Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 7 | 3.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | HE WAS ME 後段發力 B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 13 | 55.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | MIGHTY STEED CP1 A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 4 | 3.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | LAKESHORE HERO CP1 K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 5 | 11.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | GLORIOUS RYDER XB K C Leung · D Eustace | K C Leung | D Eustace | 9 | 208.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 13 | MAGIC COMBO CP/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 8 | 171.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 5 | BOWSER V- K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 10 | 38.0 | 12-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FORTUNATE SON | 22.5% | 4.45 | 8 |
| 2 | 4 | MIGHTY STEED | 20.9% | 4.79 | 10 |
| 3 | 2 | SPIRIT OF PEACE | 10.4% | 9.60 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | CHINA WIN | 7.9% | 12.62 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR | 7.3% | 13.67 | 6 |
| 6 | 12 | LAKESHORE HERO | 6.9% | 14.43 | 11 |
| 7 | 11 | HANDSOME BOMB | 5.0% | 20.19 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | BOWSER | 4.3% | 23.39 | 14 |
| 9 | 14 | HE WAS ME | 4.1% | 24.38 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | BULL ATTITUDE | 4.1% | 24.55 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | SILVER UP | 3.4% | 29.78 | 3 |
| 12 | 8 | LUCKY YEAR | 1.8% | 54.32 | 7 |
| 13 | 13 | MAGIC COMBO | 0.8% | 130.10 | 13 |
| 14 | 7 | GLORIOUS RYDER | 0.7% | 149.80 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 86
PLACE
2 22
6 38.5
10 93.5
QUINELLA
2,6 341
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 138.5
2,10 499
6,10 785.5
FORECAST
2,6 1,088
TIERCE
2,6,10 32,439
TRIO
2,6,10 4,592
FIRST 4
2,6,9,10 16,239
QUARTET
2,6,10,9 306,897
全部彩池（另 1 項）
2ND DOUBLE
13/2 447
13/6 99.5