沙田 · 2025-07-01 · 10:40
第 6場
2025-07-01沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米。由A Hamelin策騎、K W Lui訓練的MEANINGFUL DRAGON勝出，贏出1-3/4。BEAUTY GLORY獲得亞軍；SOLID WIN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.8倍大熱門BEAUTY GLORY跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | MEANINGFUL DRAGON 後段發力 B 1.22.08 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 14 | 80.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTY GLORY 早段領放 CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 3.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | SOLID WIN 後段發力 TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 12 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | REWARDING TWINKLE 後段發力 SR/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 9 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | INNO SUPER 後段發力 SR1/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 2 | 53.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | JOLLY JUMPER V/TT A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 4 | 8.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | BRIGHT DAY B/TT J Orman · K L Man | J Orman | K L Man | 5 | 58.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | SIMPLE HEDGE 後段發力 H B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 6 | 20.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | EMBLAZON TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 13 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | RUN RUN TIMING TT- K De Melo · C H Yip | K De Melo | C H Yip | 1 | 3.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | KNOW AT HEART K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 7 | 22.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | SMILING ONE H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 3 | 90.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 9 | KA YING RADIANCE Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 11 | 5.7 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 13 | SOMETHING JONAH M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 85.0 | 11-1/2 |
| — | 0 | GOLDEN BRILLIANT · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | RUN RUN TIMING | 18.9% | 5.30 | 10 |
| 2 | 9 | KA YING RADIANCE | 14.9% | 6.73 | 13 |
| 3 | 12 | REWARDING TWINKLE | 11.0% | 9.11 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | BEAUTY GLORY | 10.5% | 9.52 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | JOLLY JUMPER | 7.9% | 12.60 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | SOLID WIN | 7.3% | 13.69 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | BRIGHT DAY | 6.0% | 16.80 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | SMILING ONE | 4.9% | 20.27 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | KNOW AT HEART | 4.9% | 20.51 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | EMBLAZON | 4.4% | 22.85 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | SIMPLE HEDGE | 4.1% | 24.14 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | MEANINGFUL DRAGON | 2.1% | 47.43 | 1 |
| 13 | 7 | INNO SUPER | 1.6% | 62.86 | 5 |
| 14 | 13 | SOMETHING JONAH | 1.6% | 63.69 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 803
PLACE
1 17
2 33.5
10 164
QUINELLA
1,10 1,986
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 77.5
1,10 606
2,10 814.5
FORECAST
10,1 3,733
TIERCE
10,1,2 14,220
TRIO
1,2,10 1,923
FIRST 4
1,2,10,12 5,266
QUARTET
10,1,2,12 192,373
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,12/1,2,10 588,866
5TH DOUBLE
4/1 13
4/10 784.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,11,12/4,6,12/Any Combination 267,097