Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2025-07-01 · 10:40

Race 6

Class 4 1400m Course C 14 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-01 was Class 4 over 1400m. MEANINGFUL DRAGON, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-3/4, with BEAUTY GLORY second and SOLID WIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite BEAUTY GLORY finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.22.08
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 MEANINGFUL DRAGON Closed strongly B 1.22.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · K W Lui 14 80.0 1-3/4
2 1 BEAUTY GLORY Led early CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 10 3.8 1-3/4
3 2 SOLID WIN Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu 12 12.0 1-3/4
4 12 REWARDING TWINKLE Closed strongly SR/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor 9 12.0 2-1/4
5 7 INNO SUPER Closed strongly SR1/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace 2 53.0 3-1/2
6 11 JOLLY JUMPER V/TT A Badel · T P Yung 4 8.6 3-3/4
7 3 BRIGHT DAY B/TT J Orman · K L Man 5 58.0 3-3/4
8 5 SIMPLE HEDGE Closed strongly H B Thompson · J Size 6 20.0 4-1/4
9 6 EMBLAZON TT K C Leung · W K Mo 13 12.0 4-1/4
10 14 RUN RUN TIMING TT- K De Melo · C H Yip 1 3.9 5-3/4
11 4 KNOW AT HEART K Teetan · W Y So 7 22.0 6-3/4
12 8 SMILING ONE H Bentley · K H Ting 3 90.0 8
13 9 KA YING RADIANCE Z Purton · D A Hayes 11 5.7 9-1/2
14 13 SOMETHING JONAH M F Poon · D J Hall 8 85.0 11-1/2
0 GOLDEN BRILLIANT · C Fownes

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MEANINGFUL DRAGON2. BEAUTY GLORY+1.75L3. SOLID WIN+1.75L4. REWARDING TWINKLE+2.25L5. INNO SUPER+3.5L6. JOLLY JUMPER+3.75L7. BRIGHT DAY+3.75L8. SIMPLE HEDGE+4.25L9. EMBLAZON+4.25L10. RUN RUN TIMING+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick RUN RUN TIMING (18.9%) finished 10th — the winner MEANINGFUL DRAGON was rated #12. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 14 RUN RUN TIMING 18.9% 5.30 10
2 9 KA YING RADIANCE 14.9% 6.73 13
3 12 REWARDING TWINKLE 11.0% 9.11 4
4 1 BEAUTY GLORY 10.5% 9.52 2
5 11 JOLLY JUMPER 7.9% 12.60 6
6 2 SOLID WIN 7.3% 13.69 3
7 3 BRIGHT DAY 6.0% 16.80 7
8 8 SMILING ONE 4.9% 20.27 12
9 4 KNOW AT HEART 4.9% 20.51 11
10 6 EMBLAZON 4.4% 22.85 9
11 5 SIMPLE HEDGE 4.1% 24.14 8
12 10 MEANINGFUL DRAGON 2.1% 47.43 1
13 7 INNO SUPER 1.6% 62.86 5
14 13 SOMETHING JONAH 1.6% 63.69 14
RUN RUN TIMINGKA YING RADIANCEREWARDING TWINKLEBEAUTY GLORYJOLLY JUMPERSOLID WINBRIGHT DAYSMILING ONEKNOW AT HEARTEMBLAZONSIMPLE HEDGEMEANINGFUL DRAGON — wonINNO SUPERSOMETHING JONAH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 803

PLACE

1 17

2 33.5

10 164

QUINELLA

1,10 1,986

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 77.5

1,10 606

2,10 814.5

FORECAST

10,1 3,733

TIERCE

10,1,2 14,220

TRIO

1,2,10 1,923

FIRST 4

1,2,10,12 5,266

QUARTET

10,1,2,12 192,373

All pools (3 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

4,6,12/1,2,10 588,866

5TH DOUBLE

4/1 13

4/10 784.5

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,11,12/4,6,12/Any Combination 267,097