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Sha Tin · 2025-07-01 · 18:36

Race 6

Class 4 1400m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.08
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 MEANINGFUL DRAGON Closed strongly B 1.22.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · K W Lui 14 80.0 1-3/4
2 1 BEAUTY GLORY Led early CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 10 3.8 1-3/4
3 2 SOLID WIN Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu 12 12.0 1-3/4
4 12 REWARDING TWINKLE Closed strongly SR/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor 9 12.0 2-1/4
5 7 INNO SUPER Closed strongly SR1/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace 2 53.0 3-1/2
6 11 JOLLY JUMPER V/TT A Badel · T P Yung 4 8.6 3-3/4
7 3 BRIGHT DAY B/TT J Orman · K L Man 5 58.0 3-3/4
8 5 SIMPLE HEDGE Closed strongly H B Thompson · J Size 6 20.0 4-1/4
9 6 EMBLAZON TT K C Leung · W K Mo 13 12.0 4-1/4
10 14 RUN RUN TIMING TT- K De Melo · C H Yip 1 3.9 5-3/4
11 4 KNOW AT HEART K Teetan · W Y So 7 22.0 6-3/4
12 8 SMILING ONE H Bentley · K H Ting 3 90.0 8
13 9 KA YING RADIANCE Z Purton · D A Hayes 11 5.7 9-1/2
14 13 SOMETHING JONAH M F Poon · D J Hall 8 85.0 11-1/2
— 0 GOLDEN BRILLIANT · C Fownes — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-01 was Class 4 over 1400m. MEANINGFUL DRAGON, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-3/4, with BEAUTY GLORY second and SOLID WIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite BEAUTY GLORY finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MEANINGFUL DRAGON—2. BEAUTY GLORY+1.75L3. SOLID WIN+1.75L4. REWARDING TWINKLE+2.25L5. INNO SUPER+3.5L6. JOLLY JUMPER+3.75L7. BRIGHT DAY+3.75L8. SIMPLE HEDGE+4.25L9. EMBLAZON+4.25L10. RUN RUN TIMING+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick RUN RUN TIMING (18.9%) finished 10th — the winner MEANINGFUL DRAGON was rated #12. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 14 RUN RUN TIMING 18.9% 5.30 10
2 9 KA YING RADIANCE 14.9% 6.73 13
3 12 REWARDING TWINKLE 11.0% 9.11 4
4 1 BEAUTY GLORY 10.5% 9.52 2
5 11 JOLLY JUMPER 7.9% 12.60 6
6 2 SOLID WIN 7.3% 13.69 3
7 3 BRIGHT DAY 6.0% 16.80 7
8 8 SMILING ONE 4.9% 20.27 12
9 4 KNOW AT HEART 4.9% 20.51 11
10 6 EMBLAZON 4.4% 22.85 9
11 5 SIMPLE HEDGE 4.1% 24.14 8
12 10 MEANINGFUL DRAGON 2.1% 47.43 1
13 7 INNO SUPER 1.6% 62.86 5
14 13 SOMETHING JONAH 1.6% 63.69 14
RUN RUN TIMINGKA YING RADIANCEREWARDING TWINKLEBEAUTY GLORYJOLLY JUMPERSOLID WINBRIGHT DAYSMILING ONEKNOW AT HEARTEMBLAZONSIMPLE HEDGEMEANINGFUL DRAGON — wonINNO SUPERSOMETHING JONAH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 803

PLACE

1 17

2 33.5

10 164

QUINELLA

1,10 1,986

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 77.5

1,10 606

2,10 814.5

FORECAST

10,1 3,733

TIERCE

10,1,2 14,220

TRIO

1,2,10 1,923

FIRST 4

1,2,10,12 5,266

QUARTET

10,1,2,12 192,373

All pools (3 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

4,6,12/1,2,10 588,866

5TH DOUBLE

4/1 13

4/10 784.5

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,11,12/4,6,12/Any Combination 267,097