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Sha Tin · 2025-07-01 · 08:05

Race 1

Class 5 1800m Course C 14 runners

Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-01 was Class 5 over 1800m. GOLD TACK, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 1/2, with MR ALADDIN second and WINNING SEVEN third. The winner led throughout. The 5.4 favourite SUPER HONG KONG finished 5th.

Result

Official · 1.48.08
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 GOLD TACK Wire to wire CP 1.48.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall 9 6.8 1/2
2 10 MR ALADDIN Closed strongly H/PC/TT M Chadwick · P C Ng 13 9.5 1/2
3 13 WINNING SEVEN Closed strongly B/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte 12 34.0 1-3/4
4 4 CHATEAU LE PECHE Closed strongly B K C Leung · K H Ting 10 9.8 2-1/2
5 7 SUPER HONG KONG V/TT K Teetan · C H Yip 3 5.4 3-1/2
6 3 LEATHER MASTER CP A Badel · K L Man 14 5.6 3-1/2
7 2 GO GO GO P/TT A Atzeni · W Y So 4 7.5 5-1/4
8 9 TRADITION Closed strongly B H T Mo · Y S Tsui 5 32.0 5-1/4
9 12 LAPRAS BO/TT M F Poon · W K Mo 1 10.0 5-1/4
10 6 U S S CONSTITUTION H/TT A Hamelin · J Size 7 29.0 6-1/4
11 8 STRONGEST BOY B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes 2 11.0 7
12 1 CHILLI BABA Closed strongly B J Orman · P F Yiu 11 25.0 9
13 5 FLYING SILVER B/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum 8 77.0 9-1/4
14 14 JOYFUL CHAMPION B/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang 6 29.0 16-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLD TACK2. MR ALADDIN+0.5L3. WINNING SEVEN+1.75L4. CHATEAU LE PECHE+2.5L5. SUPER HONG KONG+3.5L6. LEATHER MASTER+3.5L7. GO GO GO+5.25L8. TRADITION+5.25L9. LAPRAS+5.25L10. U S S CONSTITUTION+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick SUPER HONG KONG (14.4%) finished 5th — the winner GOLD TACK was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 SUPER HONG KONG 14.4% 6.94 5
2 12 LAPRAS 12.1% 8.23 9
3 3 LEATHER MASTER 11.3% 8.86 6
4 4 CHATEAU LE PECHE 11.1% 9.05 4
5 11 GOLD TACK 10.0% 10.02 1
6 10 MR ALADDIN 7.3% 13.63 2
7 2 GO GO GO 7.0% 14.37 7
8 8 STRONGEST BOY 6.3% 15.85 11
9 1 CHILLI BABA 4.6% 21.79 12
10 13 WINNING SEVEN 3.9% 25.63 3
11 5 FLYING SILVER 3.2% 31.12 13
12 6 U S S CONSTITUTION 3.1% 32.64 10
13 9 TRADITION 3.0% 33.03 8
14 14 JOYFUL CHAMPION 2.7% 36.87 14
SUPER HONG KONGLAPRASLEATHER MASTERCHATEAU LE PECHEGOLD TACK — wonMR ALADDINGO GO GOSTRONGEST BOYCHILLI BABAWINNING SEVENFLYING SILVERU S S CONSTITUTIONTRADITIONJOYFUL CHAMPION

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 68.5

PLACE

10 34

11 22

13 87.5

QUINELLA

10,11 409

QUINELLA PLACE

10,11 137.5

10,13 509.5

11,13 323.5

FORECAST

11,10 761

TIERCE

11,10,13 11,304

TRIO

10,11,13 3,225

FIRST 4

4,10,11,13 6,590

QUARTET

11,10,13,4 141,407