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Sha Tin · 2025-07-01 · 12:20

Race 9

Class 3 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-01 was Class 3 over 1200m. PAKISTAN LEGACY, ridden by J Orman and trained by W Y So, won by HD, with BUNDLE OF CHARM second and GOKO WIN third. The 4.2 favourite MATTERS MOST finished 8th.

Result

Official · 1.09.40
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 PAKISTAN LEGACY CP-/B1/TT 1.09.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · W Y So 1 6.6 HD
2 3 BUNDLE OF CHARM B Avdulla · J Size 9 7.7 HD
3 10 GOKO WIN B K De Melo · D J Whyte 6 16.0 1/2
4 4 YOUNG SUPERSTAR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 8 7.8 1/2
5 1 SAVVY BRILLIANT E/XB/TT A Atzeni · F C Lor 5 31.0 3/4
6 2 INFINITE RESOLVE L Ferraris · M Newnham 12 5.5 1
7 8 FLYING KNIGHT CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 11 132.0 3
8 12 MATTERS MOST B/TT E C W Wong · C S Shum 4 4.2 3-1/4
9 7 TIN FOOK K Teetan · D J Hall 3 20.0 3-1/4
10 5 OTOKOMAE XB1/TT1 M Chadwick · C H Yip 2 7.9 4
11 11 STAR GLOW XB-/TT- B Thompson · K W Lui 10 113.0 4-1/4
12 9 FRANCIS MEYNELL TT M F Poon · D Eustace 7 10.0 5-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PAKISTAN LEGACY2. BUNDLE OF CHARM+0.2L3. GOKO WIN+0.5L4. YOUNG SUPERSTAR+0.5L5. SAVVY BRILLIANT+0.75L6. INFINITE RESOLVE+1L7. FLYING KNIGHT+3L8. MATTERS MOST+3.25L9. TIN FOOK+3.25L10. OTOKOMAE+4L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick MATTERS MOST (22.5%) finished 8th — the winner PAKISTAN LEGACY was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 MATTERS MOST 22.5% 4.45 8
2 2 INFINITE RESOLVE 21.2% 4.71 6
3 3 BUNDLE OF CHARM 11.6% 8.64 2
4 6 PAKISTAN LEGACY 11.2% 8.96 1
5 5 OTOKOMAE 8.7% 11.47 10
6 1 SAVVY BRILLIANT 5.0% 20.08 5
7 4 YOUNG SUPERSTAR 4.9% 20.29 4
8 10 GOKO WIN 4.7% 21.26 3
9 7 TIN FOOK 3.4% 29.24 9
10 8 FLYING KNIGHT 3.1% 32.73 7
11 9 FRANCIS MEYNELL 3.0% 32.94 12
12 11 STAR GLOW 0.7% 138.27 11
MATTERS MOSTINFINITE RESOLVEBUNDLE OF CHARMPAKISTAN LEGACY — wonOTOKOMAESAVVY BRILLIANTYOUNG SUPERSTARGOKO WINTIN FOOKFLYING KNIGHTFRANCIS MEYNELLSTAR GLOW

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 66

PLACE

3 22

6 23.5

10 38

QUINELLA

3,6 248

QUINELLA PLACE

3,6 67

3,10 147

6,10 138

FORECAST

6,3 502

TIERCE

6,3,10 3,860

TRIO

3,6,10 883

FIRST 4

3,4,6,10 1,075

QUARTET

6,3,10,4 20,953

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

14/3 64

14/6 372.5