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Sha Tin · 2025-07-01 · 20:53

Race 10

Class 3 1600m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.30
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 YUEN LONG ELITE Closed strongly B-/TT 1.34.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · K L Man 14 6.4 1-1/4
2 4 FLYING LUCK Closed strongly V/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 4 4.8 1-1/4
3 10 GLORIOUS SUCCESS Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D Eustace 1 5.1 1-3/4
4 11 GOOD LUCK BABE XB-/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 6 14.0 3-3/4
5 2 EXCELLENCE VALUE Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · M Newnham 10 8.4 4-1/4
6 14 ILLUMINOUS Closed strongly V K De Melo · F C Lor 3 51.0 4-1/4
7 5 MAGNIFICENT NINE B/E B Avdulla · J Size 2 5.1 5-1/4
8 1 WINNING GOLD Closed strongly TT J Orman · W Y So 13 15.0 5-3/4
9 9 SUPREME MASTERMIND Closed strongly XB/H1/P1/TT A Badel · D A Hayes 8 89.0 6
10 12 KA YING SUPERB H/XB M F Poon · W K Mo 11 17.0 6
11 13 FRANTANCK TT A Atzeni · P C Ng 9 16.0 6-1/4
12 6 EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS B/TT B Thompson · T P Yung 12 22.0 19
13 8 KINGDOM OF RICHES Led early CP1 H T Mo · C S Shum 7 107.0 26-1/4
14 7 FIVEFORTWO XB K C Leung · K W Lui 5 133.0 34-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-01 was Class 3 over 1600m. YUEN LONG ELITE, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by K L Man, won by 1-1/4, with FLYING LUCK second and GLORIOUS SUCCESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.8 favourite FLYING LUCK finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. YUEN LONG ELITE—2. FLYING LUCK+1.25L3. GLORIOUS SUCCESS+1.75L4. GOOD LUCK BABE+3.75L5. EXCELLENCE VALUE+4.25L6. ILLUMINOUS+4.25L7. MAGNIFICENT NINE+5.25L8. WINNING GOLD+5.75L9. SUPREME MASTERMIND+6L10. KA YING SUPERB+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick FLYING LUCK (22.4%) finished 2nd — the winner YUEN LONG ELITE was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 FLYING LUCK 22.4% 4.47 2
2 5 MAGNIFICENT NINE 19.0% 5.27 7
3 3 YUEN LONG ELITE 14.1% 7.11 1
4 10 GLORIOUS SUCCESS 11.0% 9.07 3
5 2 EXCELLENCE VALUE 8.3% 12.05 5
6 11 GOOD LUCK BABE 5.3% 18.95 4
7 6 EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS 3.9% 25.77 12
8 13 FRANTANCK 3.5% 28.53 11
9 12 KA YING SUPERB 3.2% 31.04 10
10 1 WINNING GOLD 3.2% 31.21 8
11 9 SUPREME MASTERMIND 2.2% 46.39 9
12 8 KINGDOM OF RICHES 1.9% 53.72 13
13 14 ILLUMINOUS 1.6% 61.77 6
14 7 FIVEFORTWO 0.6% 179.77 14
FLYING LUCKMAGNIFICENT NINEYUEN LONG ELITE — wonGLORIOUS SUCCESSEXCELLENCE VALUEGOOD LUCK BABEEIGHTY LIGHT YEARSFRANTANCKKA YING SUPERBWINNING GOLDSUPREME MASTERMINDKINGDOM OF RICHESILLUMINOUSFIVEFORTWO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 64.5

PLACE

3 24

4 19

10 19

QUINELLA

3,4 211

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 73

3,10 70.5

4,10 50.5

FORECAST

3,4 447

TIERCE

3,4,10 2,187

TRIO

3,4,10 392

FIRST 4

3,4,10,11 906

QUARTET

3,4,10,11 29,063

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

14/6/3 2,155

14/6/4 276

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

3,6,10/3,4,10 42,937

9TH DOUBLE

6/3 783.5

6/4 48

SIX UP

4,12/1,10/2,12/1,14/3,6/3,4 12,755

3 [K L Man] —

1 [Z Purton] —