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Sha Tin · 2025-07-01 · 12:55

Race 10

Class 3 1600m Course C 14 runners

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-01 was Class 3 over 1600m. YUEN LONG ELITE, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by K L Man, won by 1-1/4, with FLYING LUCK second and GLORIOUS SUCCESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.8 favourite FLYING LUCK finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.34.30
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 YUEN LONG ELITE Closed strongly B-/TT 1.34.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · K L Man 14 6.4 1-1/4
2 4 FLYING LUCK Closed strongly V/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 4 4.8 1-1/4
3 10 GLORIOUS SUCCESS Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D Eustace 1 5.1 1-3/4
4 11 GOOD LUCK BABE XB-/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 6 14.0 3-3/4
5 2 EXCELLENCE VALUE Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · M Newnham 10 8.4 4-1/4
6 14 ILLUMINOUS Closed strongly V K De Melo · F C Lor 3 51.0 4-1/4
7 5 MAGNIFICENT NINE B/E B Avdulla · J Size 2 5.1 5-1/4
8 1 WINNING GOLD Closed strongly TT J Orman · W Y So 13 15.0 5-3/4
9 9 SUPREME MASTERMIND Closed strongly XB/H1/P1/TT A Badel · D A Hayes 8 89.0 6
10 12 KA YING SUPERB H/XB M F Poon · W K Mo 11 17.0 6
11 13 FRANTANCK TT A Atzeni · P C Ng 9 16.0 6-1/4
12 6 EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS B/TT B Thompson · T P Yung 12 22.0 19
13 8 KINGDOM OF RICHES Led early CP1 H T Mo · C S Shum 7 107.0 26-1/4
14 7 FIVEFORTWO XB K C Leung · K W Lui 5 133.0 34-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. YUEN LONG ELITE2. FLYING LUCK+1.25L3. GLORIOUS SUCCESS+1.75L4. GOOD LUCK BABE+3.75L5. EXCELLENCE VALUE+4.25L6. ILLUMINOUS+4.25L7. MAGNIFICENT NINE+5.25L8. WINNING GOLD+5.75L9. SUPREME MASTERMIND+6L10. KA YING SUPERB+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick FLYING LUCK (22.4%) finished 2nd — the winner YUEN LONG ELITE was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 FLYING LUCK 22.4% 4.47 2
2 5 MAGNIFICENT NINE 19.0% 5.27 7
3 3 YUEN LONG ELITE 14.1% 7.11 1
4 10 GLORIOUS SUCCESS 11.0% 9.07 3
5 2 EXCELLENCE VALUE 8.3% 12.05 5
6 11 GOOD LUCK BABE 5.3% 18.95 4
7 6 EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS 3.9% 25.77 12
8 13 FRANTANCK 3.5% 28.53 11
9 12 KA YING SUPERB 3.2% 31.04 10
10 1 WINNING GOLD 3.2% 31.21 8
11 9 SUPREME MASTERMIND 2.2% 46.39 9
12 8 KINGDOM OF RICHES 1.9% 53.72 13
13 14 ILLUMINOUS 1.6% 61.77 6
14 7 FIVEFORTWO 0.6% 179.77 14
FLYING LUCKMAGNIFICENT NINEYUEN LONG ELITE — wonGLORIOUS SUCCESSEXCELLENCE VALUEGOOD LUCK BABEEIGHTY LIGHT YEARSFRANTANCKKA YING SUPERBWINNING GOLDSUPREME MASTERMINDKINGDOM OF RICHESILLUMINOUSFIVEFORTWO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 64.5

PLACE

3 24

4 19

10 19

QUINELLA

3,4 211

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 73

3,10 70.5

4,10 50.5

FORECAST

3,4 447

TIERCE

3,4,10 2,187

TRIO

3,4,10 392

FIRST 4

3,4,10,11 906

QUARTET

3,4,10,11 29,063

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

14/6/3 2,155

14/6/4 276

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

3,6,10/3,4,10 42,937

9TH DOUBLE

6/3 783.5

6/4 48

SIX UP

4,12/1,10/2,12/1,14/3,6/3,4 12,755

1 [Z Purton]

3 [K L Man]