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Sha Tin · 2025-07-01 · 08:35

Race 2

Class 4 1000m Course C 14 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-01 was Class 4 over 1000m. AMAZING GALAXY, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by K H Ting, won by 1-1/2, with RISING PHOENIX second and ROBOT LUCKY STAR third. Victory came as the 4.4 favourite.

Result

Official · 0.56.39
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 13 AMAZING GALAXY CP 0.56.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · K H Ting 3 4.4 1-1/2
2 12 RISING PHOENIX B B Avdulla · D J Hall 6 12.0 1-1/2
3 8 ROBOT LUCKY STAR Z Purton · K L Man 13 4.7 2-3/4
4 10 BEAUTY THUNDER TT A Badel · W K Mo 8 34.0 2-3/4
5 14 NOBLE DELUXE B/TT K Teetan · J Size 11 10.0 2-3/4
6 7 MR DESIRA H Bentley · C Fownes 7 6.5 4
7 3 STRAIGHT TO GLORY TT J Orman · T P Yung 4 7.1 4-1/4
8 6 MING SUPREME B1/TT1 Y L Chung · C H Yip 12 82.0 4-3/4
9 1 HEROIC MASTER B/TT E C W Wong · F C Lor 14 5.5 6
10 11 REWARDING BUDDY CP K C Leung · F C Lor 5 116.0 6-3/4
11 5 HAPPY ACTION CP/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes 2 119.0 8-1/4
12 9 SUPERB GUY A Atzeni · K W Lui 9 54.0 10-3/4
13 4 EXTREME BOMB TT1 K De Melo · W Y So 10 55.0 11-1/2
14 2 MULTIDUTCH B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 1 36.0 15

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. AMAZING GALAXY2. RISING PHOENIX+1.5L3. ROBOT LUCKY STAR+2.75L4. BEAUTY THUNDER+2.75L5. NOBLE DELUXE+2.75L6. MR DESIRA+4L7. STRAIGHT TO GLORY+4.25L8. MING SUPREME+4.75L9. HEROIC MASTER+6L10. REWARDING BUDDY+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick ROBOT LUCKY STAR (26.8%) finished 3rd — the winner AMAZING GALAXY was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 ROBOT LUCKY STAR 26.8% 3.74 3
2 7 MR DESIRA 16.0% 6.26 6
3 3 STRAIGHT TO GLORY 13.9% 7.22 7
4 13 AMAZING GALAXY 10.2% 9.79 1
5 10 BEAUTY THUNDER 5.8% 17.14 4
6 14 NOBLE DELUXE 5.2% 19.37 5
7 9 SUPERB GUY 5.0% 19.90 12
8 1 HEROIC MASTER 4.9% 20.20 9
9 12 RISING PHOENIX 3.6% 28.16 2
10 6 MING SUPREME 3.0% 33.06 8
11 4 EXTREME BOMB 1.8% 55.48 13
12 2 MULTIDUTCH 1.8% 56.80 14
13 11 REWARDING BUDDY 1.3% 74.47 10
14 5 HAPPY ACTION 0.7% 136.40 11
ROBOT LUCKY STARMR DESIRASTRAIGHT TO GLORYAMAZING GALAXY — wonBEAUTY THUNDERNOBLE DELUXESUPERB GUYHEROIC MASTERRISING PHOENIXMING SUPREMEEXTREME BOMBMULTIDUTCHREWARDING BUDDYHAPPY ACTION

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 44

PLACE

8 20.5

12 33

13 17

QUINELLA

12,13 294.5

QUINELLA PLACE

8,12 108

8,13 53

12,13 91.5

FORECAST

13,12 536

TIERCE

13,12,8 2,920

TRIO

8,12,13 493

FIRST 4

8,10,12,13 3,280

QUARTET

13,12,8,10 75,612

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

11/12 88

11/13 549

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

10,11,13/8,12,13 156,366