Sha Tin · 2025-07-01 · 10:05
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-01 was Class 2 over 1400m. LIGHT YEARS CHARM, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D Eustace, won by HD, with MICKLEY second and GUSTOSISIMO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM Closed strongly XB 1.21.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 10 | 2.1 | HD |
| 2 | 12 | MICKLEY Closed strongly TT B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 8 | 26.0 | HD |
| 3 | 6 | GUSTOSISIMO TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 38.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | HEALTHY HAPPY Led early B/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 7 | 73.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | YOUNG CHAMPION B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 1 | 8.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | LO RIDER Closed strongly H H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 4 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 11 | 24.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | SOLEIL FIGHTER CP-/XB/B1 A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 2 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 4.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | TOURBILLON PRINCE TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 9 | 40.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | SWIFT ASCEND B/TT M Chadwick · D Eustace | M Chadwick | D Eustace | 6 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 1 | TAJ DRAGON E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 5 | 33.0 | 6-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM | 51.1% | 1.96 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | YOUNG CHAMPION | 9.1% | 10.94 | 5 |
| 3 | 11 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS | 8.7% | 11.54 | 9 |
| 4 | 5 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 6.0% | 16.56 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | TAJ DRAGON | 5.2% | 19.30 | 12 |
| 6 | 10 | LO RIDER | 4.9% | 20.46 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | MICKLEY | 3.7% | 27.04 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT | 2.8% | 35.26 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | GUSTOSISIMO | 2.7% | 37.17 | 3 |
| 10 | 9 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 2.3% | 43.57 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | SWIFT ASCEND | 2.2% | 45.19 | 11 |
| 12 | 2 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 1.2% | 80.04 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 21.5
PLACE
4 12.5
6 80
12 51.5
QUINELLA
4,12 243.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 132.5
4,12 86.5
6,12 712.5
FORECAST
4,12 358
TIERCE
4,12,6 7,244
TRIO
4,6,12 2,188
FIRST 4
2,4,6,12 17,676
QUARTET
4,12,6,2 214,833
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
2/1/4 688
2/1/12 1,495
4TH DOUBLE
1/4 106.5
1/12 216