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Sha Tin · 2025-07-01 · 11:45

Race 8

Class 4 1600m Course C 14 runners

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-01 was Class 4 over 1600m. PEARL OF PANG'S, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K L Man, won by 3/4, with MR COOL second and STAR BROSE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.34.92
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 14 PEARL OF PANG'S Closed strongly B/TT 1.34.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K L Man 5 3.7 3/4
2 1 MR COOL Closed strongly CP1/TT A Atzeni · F C Lor 10 10.0 3/4
3 9 STAR BROSE Closed strongly CP1/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes 1 7.1 3
4 11 HAPPY UNIVERSE P H Bentley · K H Ting 2 6.9 3
5 13 SPECIAL HEDGE Closed strongly V/TT A Badel · T P Yung 14 11.0 3-1/2
6 7 QUICK CONTRIBUTION Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall 9 9.7 6-1/4
7 3 WINNING DATA Led early B E C W Wong · P F Yiu 6 21.0 6-1/4
8 8 SOARING BRONCO Closed strongly PC/TT B Avdulla · P C Ng 11 9.7 7-1/2
9 4 WITHOUT DELAY Closed strongly XB/TT K Teetan · D Eustace 12 60.0 7-3/4
10 6 CALIFORNIA SUN Closed strongly CP/XB/TT Y L Chung · W K Mo 3 47.0 8-1/2
11 5 GALLANT EPOCH V/TT K De Melo · K W Lui 4 10.0 9
12 2 VIVA GRACIOUSNESS TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 13 21.0 9-1/4
13 10 SIGHT SUPREME B A Hamelin · J Size 7 31.0 11-3/4
14 12 MR JUSTICE CP/TT H T Mo · C S Shum 8 136.0 23-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PEARL OF PANG'S2. MR COOL+0.75L3. STAR BROSE+3L4. HAPPY UNIVERSE+3L5. SPECIAL HEDGE+3.5L6. QUICK CONTRIBUTION+6.25L7. WINNING DATA+6.25L8. SOARING BRONCO+7.5L9. WITHOUT DELAY+7.75L10. CALIFORNIA SUN+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick HAPPY UNIVERSE (17.2%) finished 4th — the winner PEARL OF PANG'S was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 HAPPY UNIVERSE 17.2% 5.80 4
2 14 PEARL OF PANG'S 15.4% 6.48 1
3 9 STAR BROSE 14.6% 6.85 3
4 2 VIVA GRACIOUSNESS 8.1% 12.41 12
5 1 MR COOL 7.7% 13.02 2
6 8 SOARING BRONCO 6.1% 16.44 8
7 3 WINNING DATA 5.8% 17.21 7
8 13 SPECIAL HEDGE 5.8% 17.34 5
9 7 QUICK CONTRIBUTION 5.5% 18.09 6
10 5 GALLANT EPOCH 5.3% 18.88 11
11 10 SIGHT SUPREME 4.0% 25.08 13
12 6 CALIFORNIA SUN 2.5% 39.23 10
13 4 WITHOUT DELAY 1.3% 78.20 9
14 12 MR JUSTICE 0.7% 147.29 14
HAPPY UNIVERSEPEARL OF PANG'S — wonSTAR BROSEVIVA GRACIOUSNESSMR COOLSOARING BRONCOWINNING DATASPECIAL HEDGEQUICK CONTRIBUTIONGALLANT EPOCHSIGHT SUPREMECALIFORNIA SUNWITHOUT DELAYMR JUSTICE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

14 37

PLACE

1 32.5

9 25

14 16

QUINELLA

1,14 198.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,9 137

1,14 78.5

9,14 58

FORECAST

14,1 338

TIERCE

14,1,9 2,344

TRIO

1,9,14 546

FIRST 4

1,9,11,14 576

QUARTET

14,1,9,11 14,365

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

2,5,12/1,9,14 137,155

7TH DOUBLE

2/1 189

2/14 609