沙田 · 2025-09-14 · 07:40
第 6場
2025-09-14沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米。由A Badel策騎、M Newnham訓練的SAME TO YOU勝出，贏出1-3/4。KING ALLOY獲得亞軍；SEA EMERALD獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門GROOVY FEELING跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SAME TO YOU H/P/TT 1.08.97 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 14 | 66.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 14 | KING ALLOY B R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 1 | 22.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | SEA EMERALD CP-/TT1 J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 6 | 9.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | GROOVY FEELING CP/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 2 | 2.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | FIT FOR BEAUTY K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 12 | 23.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 13 | SUNNY Q TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 11 | 6.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | ARGENTO OCEAN H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 5 | 6.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | BUNTA BABY V/TT L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 10 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | CONSPIRACY WITNESS L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 9 | 31.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | WIN METHOD TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 13 | 64.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 11 | LUCKY MCQUEEN H/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 3 | 6.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | LEGENDARY IMPACT CP/TT D Probert · W K Mo | D Probert | W K Mo | 4 | 162.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 9 | SUPER PACE TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 7 | 206.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 7 | GO GENERAL CP C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 8 | 203.0 | 24-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GROOVY FEELING | 50.0% | 2.00 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | ARGENTO OCEAN | 9.4% | 10.65 | 7 |
| 3 | 11 | LUCKY MCQUEEN | 7.6% | 13.08 | 11 |
| 4 | 1 | SEA EMERALD | 7.3% | 13.67 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | FIT FOR BEAUTY | 5.7% | 17.44 | 5 |
| 6 | 13 | SUNNY Q | 3.3% | 30.67 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | BUNTA BABY | 3.2% | 30.82 | 8 |
| 8 | 10 | CONSPIRACY WITNESS | 3.0% | 33.66 | 9 |
| 9 | 14 | KING ALLOY | 2.5% | 39.32 | 2 |
| 10 | 5 | WIN METHOD | 2.3% | 43.99 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | SAME TO YOU | 2.1% | 48.38 | 1 |
| 12 | 9 | SUPER PACE | 1.6% | 63.33 | 13 |
| 13 | 4 | LEGENDARY IMPACT | 1.1% | 91.20 | 12 |
| 14 | 7 | GO GENERAL | 0.8% | 118.89 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 667.5
PLACE
1 27.5
12 113.5
14 59
QUINELLA
12,14 5,522
QUINELLA PLACE
1,12 716.5
1,14 240.5
12,14 1,343.5
FORECAST
12,14 10,479
TIERCE
12,14,1 157,427
TRIO
1,12,14 12,703
FIRST 4
1,8,12,14 5,349
QUARTET
12,14,1,8 443,593
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,10/1,12,14 1,151,547
5TH DOUBLE
4/12 1,893.5
4/14 214
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,3/4,5,10/Any Combination 115,942