沙田 · 2025-09-14 · 22:05
第 1場
2025-09-14沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1400米。由A Badel策騎、F C Lor訓練的MY FLYING ANGEL勝出，贏出1/2。CIRCUIT FIERY獲得亞軍；WINDICATOR FAMILY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.3倍大熱門CIRCUIT FIERY跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | MY FLYING ANGEL 後段發力 B 1.21.43 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 3 | 8.8 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | CIRCUIT FIERY 後段發力 PC/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 7 | 2.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | WINDICATOR FAMILY 後段發力 V P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 1 | 9.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | BRAVE OF FRIENDS 後段發力 B-/XB2/TT R Kingscote · D J Whyte | R Kingscote | D J Whyte | 10 | 109.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | TEAM HAPPY 後段發力 B/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 2 | 5.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | FAIRY HORSE 後段發力 SB/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 13 | 20.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | COLONEL 早段領放 TT K De Melo · J Richards | K De Melo | J Richards | 4 | 91.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER V/TT D Probert · W Y So | D Probert | W Y So | 12 | 72.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | THE WAY WE WIN B/TT H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 11 | 38.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | EURO ROCKS B/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 6 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | LAPRAS BO/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 5 | 20.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 1 | NIGHT PUROSANGUE CP B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 9 | 9.9 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | ISLAND GOLDEN TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 8 | 18.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 6 | MAGIC COMBO CP/TT J Orman · C S Shum | J Orman | C S Shum | 14 | 83.0 | 11-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CIRCUIT FIERY | 40.3% | 2.48 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | TEAM HAPPY | 10.6% | 9.45 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 9.2% | 10.84 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | NIGHT PUROSANGUE | 6.4% | 15.68 | 12 |
| 5 | 10 | MY FLYING ANGEL | 5.2% | 19.10 | 1 |
| 6 | 13 | FAIRY HORSE | 5.2% | 19.29 | 6 |
| 7 | 14 | LAPRAS | 4.0% | 25.08 | 11 |
| 8 | 8 | ISLAND GOLDEN | 3.4% | 29.75 | 13 |
| 9 | 7 | EURO ROCKS | 3.3% | 29.88 | 10 |
| 10 | 11 | THE WAY WE WIN | 3.0% | 32.94 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | COLONEL | 3.0% | 33.64 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER | 2.9% | 34.18 | 8 |
| 13 | 12 | BRAVE OF FRIENDS | 1.9% | 52.78 | 4 |
| 14 | 6 | MAGIC COMBO | 1.6% | 62.20 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 88
PLACE
2 28.5
4 12.5
10 28.5
QUINELLA
4,10 116
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 46.5
2,10 134
4,10 50
FORECAST
10,4 375
TIERCE
10,4,2 2,211
TRIO
2,4,10 350
FIRST 4
2,4,10,12 4,929
QUARTET
10,4,2,12 86,751