沙田 · 2025-09-14 · 09:15
第 9場
2025-09-14沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米。由P N Wong策騎、C S Shum訓練的PACKING BOLE勝出，贏出1-1/2。MR ENERGIA獲得亞軍；MOJAVE DESERT獲得季軍。頭馬以5.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PACKING BOLE CP/TT 1.08.47 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） P N Wong · C S Shum | P N Wong | C S Shum | 10 | 5.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | MR ENERGIA B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 3 | 7.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | MOJAVE DESERT B/XB A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 5 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | BUNDLE OF CHARM P2 H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 11 | 25.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | DRAGON AIR FORCE TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 1 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | HAROLD WIN V/XB C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 7 | 7.1 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | SOLID SHALAA B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 6 | 6.6 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | MUST GO E/PC/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 8 | 25.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | MASK RIDER B/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 2 | 5.7 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | GUMMY GUMMY B L Ferraris · C W Chang | L Ferraris | C W Chang | 9 | 6.7 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 86.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | CAMP LAND TT1 A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 12 | 74.0 | 24-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | MOJAVE DESERT | 14.8% | 6.76 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | MASK RIDER | 13.5% | 7.41 | 9 |
| 3 | 6 | SOLID SHALAA | 13.0% | 7.71 | 7 |
| 4 | 5 | DRAGON AIR FORCE | 11.5% | 8.66 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | HAROLD WIN | 10.8% | 9.23 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | GUMMY GUMMY | 7.2% | 13.96 | 10 |
| 7 | 3 | PACKING BOLE | 7.0% | 14.22 | 1 |
| 8 | 10 | MR ENERGIA | 6.4% | 15.60 | 2 |
| 9 | 4 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 6.2% | 16.02 | 4 |
| 10 | 1 | MUST GO | 4.7% | 21.37 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | CAMP LAND | 2.8% | 35.23 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 2.0% | 49.62 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 52
PLACE
3 23
8 34.5
10 25.5
QUINELLA
3,10 253.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 146
3,10 90
8,10 122.5
FORECAST
3,10 537
TIERCE
3,10,8 4,171
TRIO
3,8,10 947
FIRST 4
3,4,8,10 3,985
QUARTET
3,10,8,4 75,590
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
10/3 332
10/10 53.5