沙田 · 2025-09-14 · 08:40
第 8場
2025-09-14沙田第8場，Class 4，途程1200米。由A Atzeni策騎、J Richards訓練的JUBILANT WINNER勝出，贏出2-1/2。VON BAER獲得亞軍；DECISION LINK獲得季軍。2.4倍大熱門TOURBILLON GOLFER跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | JUBILANT WINNER V-/B1/TT 1.08.36 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 7 | 3.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | VON BAER B K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 4 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | DECISION LINK K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 6 | 33.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | TOURBILLON GOLFER TT Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 12 | 2.4 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | HOT AIR BALLON H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 13 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 14 | LEGEND STAR CP/TT R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 2 | 25.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | GOOD FORTUNE TT J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 10 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | HERO SPARK B M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 1 | 103.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | IRON LEGION TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 137.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | PATCH OF TIME L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 3 | 15.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 13 | COSMO LIGHT TT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 8 | 165.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | BLUE BARON CP/XB/TT A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 14 | 18.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | CLUB ACE B/TT M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 11 | 35.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 7 | SUNNY SING SPIRIT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 9 | 64.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | TOURBILLON GOLFER | 32.8% | 3.05 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | VON BAER | 10.2% | 9.78 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | HOT AIR BALLON | 9.1% | 10.93 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | GOOD FORTUNE | 8.9% | 11.24 | 7 |
| 5 | 10 | JUBILANT WINNER | 7.8% | 12.76 | 1 |
| 6 | 6 | PATCH OF TIME | 7.6% | 13.15 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | CLUB ACE | 4.9% | 20.55 | 13 |
| 8 | 12 | BLUE BARON | 4.0% | 24.96 | 12 |
| 9 | 7 | SUNNY SING SPIRIT | 3.7% | 26.99 | 14 |
| 10 | 14 | LEGEND STAR | 3.5% | 28.30 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | DECISION LINK | 3.0% | 33.36 | 3 |
| 12 | 11 | IRON LEGION | 1.8% | 56.06 | 9 |
| 13 | 13 | COSMO LIGHT | 1.5% | 65.36 | 11 |
| 14 | 5 | HERO SPARK | 1.1% | 89.95 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 32.5
PLACE
2 83
8 35.5
10 14
QUINELLA
8,10 200.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 430
2,10 170.5
8,10 66
FORECAST
10,8 387
TIERCE
10,8,2 8,001
TRIO
2,8,10 1,999
FIRST 4
1,2,8,10 1,108
QUARTET
10,8,2,1 37,550
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,9/2,8,10 124,012
7TH DOUBLE
9/8 314
9/10 818