Sha Tin · 2025-09-14 · 08:40
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-14 was Class 4 over 1200m. JUBILANT WINNER, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by J Richards, won by 2-1/2, with VON BAER second and DECISION LINK third. The 2.4 favourite TOURBILLON GOLFER finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | JUBILANT WINNER V-/B1/TT 1.08.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 7 | 3.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | VON BAER B K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 4 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | DECISION LINK K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 6 | 33.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | TOURBILLON GOLFER TT Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 12 | 2.4 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | HOT AIR BALLON H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 13 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 14 | LEGEND STAR CP/TT R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 2 | 25.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | GOOD FORTUNE TT J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 10 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | HERO SPARK B M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 1 | 103.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | IRON LEGION TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 137.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | PATCH OF TIME L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 3 | 15.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 13 | COSMO LIGHT TT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 8 | 165.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | BLUE BARON CP/XB/TT A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 14 | 18.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | CLUB ACE B/TT M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 11 | 35.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 7 | SUNNY SING SPIRIT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 9 | 64.0 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | TOURBILLON GOLFER | 32.8% | 3.05 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | VON BAER | 10.2% | 9.78 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | HOT AIR BALLON | 9.1% | 10.93 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | GOOD FORTUNE | 8.9% | 11.24 | 7 |
| 5 | 10 | JUBILANT WINNER | 7.8% | 12.76 | 1 |
| 6 | 6 | PATCH OF TIME | 7.6% | 13.15 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | CLUB ACE | 4.9% | 20.55 | 13 |
| 8 | 12 | BLUE BARON | 4.0% | 24.96 | 12 |
| 9 | 7 | SUNNY SING SPIRIT | 3.7% | 26.99 | 14 |
| 10 | 14 | LEGEND STAR | 3.5% | 28.30 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | DECISION LINK | 3.0% | 33.36 | 3 |
| 12 | 11 | IRON LEGION | 1.8% | 56.06 | 9 |
| 13 | 13 | COSMO LIGHT | 1.5% | 65.36 | 11 |
| 14 | 5 | HERO SPARK | 1.1% | 89.95 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 32.5
PLACE
2 83
8 35.5
10 14
QUINELLA
8,10 200.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 430
2,10 170.5
8,10 66
FORECAST
10,8 387
TIERCE
10,8,2 8,001
TRIO
2,8,10 1,999
FIRST 4
1,2,8,10 1,108
QUARTET
10,8,2,1 37,550
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,9/2,8,10 124,012
7TH DOUBLE
9/8 314
9/10 818