Sha Tin · 2025-09-14 · 07:05
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-14 was Class 4 over 1400m. MAX QUE, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by M Newnham, won by 1-1/2, with AEROINVINCIBLE second and NO OTHER CHOICE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MAX QUE Closed strongly TT 1.21.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 1 | 2.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | AEROINVINCIBLE Led early H/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 11 | 8.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | NO OTHER CHOICE H-/TT D Probert · C Fownes | D Probert | C Fownes | 9 | 125.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | POSITIVE SMILE Closed strongly TT1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 10 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | STRATHPEFFER Closed strongly B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 4.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | FANTASTIC FUN XB/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 3 | 7.1 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | SIMPLE HEDGE Closed strongly H B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 5 | 24.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 1 | RAGGA BOMB Closed strongly XB R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 8 | 20.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | FORERUNNER TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 7 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | CELTIC TIMES B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 4 | 18.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | ENJOY GOLF B-/V2 H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 2 | 11.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MAX QUE | 25.2% | 3.96 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | STRATHPEFFER | 13.6% | 7.35 | 5 |
| 3 | 6 | FANTASTIC FUN | 13.0% | 7.68 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | ENJOY GOLF | 11.3% | 8.85 | 11 |
| 5 | 5 | AEROINVINCIBLE | 8.6% | 11.68 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | FORERUNNER | 7.4% | 13.50 | 9 |
| 7 | 7 | SIMPLE HEDGE | 6.3% | 15.79 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | POSITIVE SMILE | 5.4% | 18.49 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | CELTIC TIMES | 4.7% | 21.48 | 10 |
| 10 | 1 | RAGGA BOMB | 2.6% | 38.71 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | NO OTHER CHOICE | 1.9% | 52.60 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 29.5
PLACE
4 14.5
5 29
10 238.5
QUINELLA
4,5 137.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 54.5
4,10 562
5,10 1,394
FORECAST
4,5 270
TIERCE
4,5,10 14,303
TRIO
4,5,10 5,010
FIRST 4
4,5,8,10 12,058
QUARTET
4,5,10,8 129,712
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
1/1/4 779
1/1/5 472
4TH DOUBLE
1/4 192
1/5 147.5