Sha Tin · 2025-09-14 · 22:05
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-14 was Class 4 over 1400m. SUGAR BALL, ridden by K C Leung and trained by W K Mo, won by N, with TOP TIME second and RAGING RAPIDS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite BETTER AND BETTER finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUGAR BALL Closed strongly TT 1.21.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 11 | 5.5 | N |
| 2 | 2 | TOP TIME Closed strongly K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 7 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 3 | RAGING RAPIDS Closed strongly TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 8 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | ROMAN CROWN Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · P C Ng | B Avdulla | P C Ng | 5 | 7.6 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | BETTER AND BETTER H Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 1 | 2.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | WINNING MACHINE Led early TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 6 | 5.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | DASHING DRAGON Closed strongly B/TT1 J Orman · D A Hayes | J Orman | D A Hayes | 4 | 30.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | SECOND TO NONE C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | BIG STRIDE TT1 A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 9 | 101.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | DEAL COMPLETED P-/XB-/B2/TT2 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 3 | 47.0 | 28-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | BILLION TWO B/TT Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 10 | 109.0 | 40-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BETTER AND BETTER | 29.9% | 3.35 | 5 |
| 2 | 8 | ROMAN CROWN | 17.7% | 5.64 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | SUGAR BALL | 15.1% | 6.64 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | RAGING RAPIDS | 14.2% | 7.06 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | TOP TIME | 7.3% | 13.73 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | WINNING MACHINE | 5.1% | 19.60 | 6 |
| 7 | 4 | SECOND TO NONE | 3.8% | 26.50 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | DASHING DRAGON | 3.0% | 32.93 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | DEAL COMPLETED | 1.5% | 66.22 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | BIG STRIDE | 1.5% | 68.03 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | BILLION TWO | 1.0% | 99.72 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 55.5
PLACE
1 17.5
2 26.5
3 23.5
QUINELLA
1,2 257.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 78.5
1,3 72
2,3 85.5
FORECAST
1,2 459
TIERCE
1,2,3 1,663
TRIO
1,2,3 313
FIRST 4
1,2,3,8 379
QUARTET
1,2,3,8 8,424
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,6/1,2,3 19,876
3RD DOUBLE
1/1 179
1/2 44