Sha Tin · 2025-09-14 · 14:31
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUGAR BALL Closed strongly TT 1.21.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 11 | 5.5 | N |
| 2 | 2 | TOP TIME Closed strongly K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 7 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 3 | RAGING RAPIDS Closed strongly TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 8 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | ROMAN CROWN Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · P C Ng | B Avdulla | P C Ng | 5 | 7.6 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | BETTER AND BETTER H Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 1 | 2.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | WINNING MACHINE Led early TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 6 | 5.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | DASHING DRAGON Closed strongly B/TT1 J Orman · D A Hayes | J Orman | D A Hayes | 4 | 30.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | SECOND TO NONE C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | BIG STRIDE TT1 A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 9 | 101.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | DEAL COMPLETED P-/XB-/B2/TT2 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 3 | 47.0 | 28-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | BILLION TWO B/TT Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 10 | 109.0 | 40-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-14 was Class 4 over 1400m. SUGAR BALL, ridden by K C Leung and trained by W K Mo, won by N, with TOP TIME second and RAGING RAPIDS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite BETTER AND BETTER finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BETTER AND BETTER | 29.9% | 3.35 | 5 |
| 2 | 8 | ROMAN CROWN | 17.7% | 5.64 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | SUGAR BALL | 15.1% | 6.64 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | RAGING RAPIDS | 14.2% | 7.06 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | TOP TIME | 7.3% | 13.73 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | WINNING MACHINE | 5.1% | 19.60 | 6 |
| 7 | 4 | SECOND TO NONE | 3.8% | 26.50 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | DASHING DRAGON | 3.0% | 32.93 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | DEAL COMPLETED | 1.5% | 66.22 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | BIG STRIDE | 1.5% | 68.03 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | BILLION TWO | 1.0% | 99.72 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 55.5
PLACE
1 17.5
2 26.5
3 23.5
QUINELLA
1,2 257.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 78.5
1,3 72
2,3 85.5
FORECAST
1,2 459
TIERCE
1,2,3 1,663
TRIO
1,2,3 313
FIRST 4
1,2,3,8 379
QUARTET
1,2,3,8 8,424
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,6/1,2,3 19,876
3RD DOUBLE
1/1 179
1/2 44