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Sha Tin · 2025-09-14 · 08:10

Race 7

Class 3 1000m Course B 11 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-14 was Class 3 over 1000m. METRO POWER, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D A Hayes, won by 2-3/4, with FAST RESPONDER second and ALSONSO third. The 1.5 favourite LIGHTNESS OF MUSIC finished 8th.

Result

Official · 0.55.33
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 METRO POWER CP 0.55.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D A Hayes 9 16.0 2-3/4
2 1 FAST RESPONDER SR P N Wong · D J Whyte 8 11.0 2-3/4
3 7 ALSONSO A Badel · M Newnham 6 9.4 3-1/2
4 5 LUCKY EIGHT E C W Wong · P F Yiu 2 48.0 4
5 6 THE ALL OUT TT K Teetan · J Richards 10 5.8 4-1/2
6 3 LIM'S SHAVANO J Orman · M Newnham 4 111.0 5-1/4
7 4 SUGAR SUGAR TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 1 48.0 5-3/4
8 11 LIGHTNESS OF MUSIC TT Z Purton · W Y So 5 1.5 6
9 10 SHINYU KOKOROE P1 D Probert · D A Hayes 7 116.0 11
10 8 COLOURFUL KNIGHT CP-/TT1 H Bentley · C S Shum 11 101.0 15
11 2 MAJESTIC EXPRESS E B Avdulla · J Size 3 18.0 19-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. METRO POWER2. FAST RESPONDER+2.75L3. ALSONSO+3.5L4. LUCKY EIGHT+4L5. THE ALL OUT+4.5L6. LIM'S SHAVANO+5.25L7. SUGAR SUGAR+5.75L8. LIGHTNESS OF MUSIC+6L9. SHINYU KOKOROE+11L10. COLOURFUL KNIGHT+15L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick LIGHTNESS OF MUSIC (61.9%) finished 8th — the winner METRO POWER was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 LIGHTNESS OF MUSIC 61.9% 1.62 8
2 6 THE ALL OUT 7.1% 14.01 5
3 1 FAST RESPONDER 6.9% 14.59 2
4 2 MAJESTIC EXPRESS 6.1% 16.46 11
5 7 ALSONSO 4.4% 22.88 3
6 9 METRO POWER 3.3% 30.14 1
7 5 LUCKY EIGHT 3.1% 32.09 4
8 4 SUGAR SUGAR 3.0% 32.82 7
9 8 COLOURFUL KNIGHT 2.1% 47.62 10
10 10 SHINYU KOKOROE 1.3% 78.62 9
11 3 LIM'S SHAVANO 0.8% 118.71 6
LIGHTNESS OF MUSICTHE ALL OUTFAST RESPONDERMAJESTIC EXPRESSALSONSOMETRO POWER — wonLUCKY EIGHTSUGAR SUGARCOLOURFUL KNIGHTSHINYU KOKOROELIM'S SHAVANO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 162.5

PLACE

1 21

7 19

9 27.5

QUINELLA

1,9 517.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,7 74.5

1,9 137

7,9 119

FORECAST

9,1 1,309

TIERCE

9,1,7 5,118

TRIO

1,7,9 592

FIRST 4

1,5,7,9 3,640

QUARTET

9,1,7,5 101,120

All pools (1 more)

6TH DOUBLE

12/1 956.5

12/9 7,378.5